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Diverting Auto Users to Transit: Early Lessons From CTA's Orange Line



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                                     1
ABSTRACT



     After only twelve months of operation, CTA's now Orange Line,
providing rapid rail service from Chicago's Loop to Midway Airport,
has reached a weekday ridership of 37,500 passengers.  Preliminary
analysis indicates that the Line has increased transit ridership
overall in the Southwest Corridor by 31.0%, raising transit's mode
share of work trips from 16.4% to 21.5%. Based on an onboard rider
survey, more than one-quarter of daily boardings are now to
transit, representing former automobile commuters or new trips for
which auto was a candidate.  Core, Secondary, and Tertiary market
sub-areas are defined which together provide 84% of the Line's
ridership.  Demographic and travel characteristics of the transit
riders surveyed are compared with comparable market area data from
the 1990 Census.  Survey data regarding the intensive marketing
campaign that accompanied the Line's opening are analyzed.  A
separate analysis of diverted/new transit riders, compared to those
who shifted from other transit services, is given.  A series of
guidelines are drawn for successfully inaugurating major transit
service improvements designed to decrease reliance upon
automobiles.



INTRODUCTION


     The Chicago Transit Authority's (CTA's) new Orange Line ---
the first entirely now rapid transit line in the Chicago area since
1969, when the Dan Ryan expressway median line opened---and the
first rapid rail in the Southwest Corridor--connects the Loop to
Midway Airport.  It opened for service on October 31, 1993. 
Proponents, who fought long and hard for southwest side rail
transit, said people would come out of their cars to use good, fast
transit.  Did that happen?

     The Environmental Impact Statement, completed in 1982, counted
on those auto diversions "for the anticipated environmental
benefits (l). lt was projected back then that a quarter of the
riders would come from cars, generating less tailpipe emissions,
lessening Chicago's ozone and carbon monoxide problems.  Were they
right?"

     These questions will be answered in this paper.  It will also
provide a profile of who is riding, at this early stage in what
will be long years of rapid rail service on the southwest side.

     The Orange Line runs around the Chicago Loop, connecting with
the Brown, Red, Blue, and Purple line trains, and soon the reborn
Green Line.  It travels 11.75 miles out to Midway Airport following
freight rail rights-of-way, close to the population centers of the
southwest side.  The Line was built by the City of Chicago, as a
new rail start funded in part by the U.S. DOT--completed within
budget and on schedule.

     The map in Figure 1 shows the market area of Orange Line
riders, as determined from a March, 1994 survey, using home
zipcodes (2).  The boundaries shown indicate the home location of
84% of weekday riders, in an area extending from Dearborn Park on
the northeast through the southwest side neighborhoods of Chicago,
out to Hickory Hills.  Other suburbs in the market area include
Burbank, Bedford Park, Bridgeview, Hometown, Justice, Merrionette
Park, Oak Lawn, and Summit.  Two sub-areas are also shown which
depict the home location of 51% and 68% (51% plus another 17%) of
Orange Line riders.  Remaining trip origins are drawn from across
the entire CTA service area, commuting to work trip destinations
lying within the corridor, or for air travel.

     CTA received a two-year $1 million grant from the federal CMAQ
Program to market the now Orange Line, serving 16 stops from the
Loop to Midway Airport.  Adequate marketing was deemed essential to
attract projected now riders to transit, and to realize the promise
of reduced air pollutant emissions.  The CTA budget did not allow
significant marketing expenditures; hence the grant was sought and
received.

                                    -1-

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                                    -2-

CORRIDOR DEMOgraphic & WORK TRAVEL CHARACTERISTICS: 1990 CENSUS

     To provide an understanding of the overall travel market in
the Southwest Corridor, basic demographic and work travel
characteristics from the 1990 census have been compiled.  As
indicated in Tables 1-3, these data have also been stratified by
the three market sub-areas shown in Figure 1, as revealed by the
March, 1994 transit rider survey, discussed further later.  These
commuter travel markets have been termed core, secondary, and
tertiary markets, oriented primarily towards the work trip.

     The Southwest Corridor can be characterized as middle class,
with median household income failing at $24,900, and a fairly even
distribution of incomes across lower and middle income ranges. 
Household size averages 3.0, higher than the average for either
Cook County or the City of Chicago as a whole (2.7). Auto ownership
is relatively high.  Half of Corridor residents are white, with
significant Eastern European heritage; nearly 1/4 are Hispanic, 1/4
African-American.

     As indicated in Table 1, drive alone was the primary work trip
mode in 1990, followed by relatively large (14.6%) usage of CTA
buses.  About 75% of this bus travel was via express routes using
the Stevenson expressway into the Chicago Loop.  Among the three
commuter sub-markets, the level of bus (and carpool) usage was
highest in the secondary market, and lowest in the tertiary market. 
Higher availability of and reliance upon the auto is thereby
indicated for the latter, while transit access (prior to the Orange
Line) was better for the former---also indicated by the 3.6% usage
of other rapid transit lines.

     Multi-worker households form a significant component of the
work force in the Southwest Corridor, with 53% of households
containing two or more workers (Table 2). This factor may influence
both the pre-Orange Line level of transit usage of (Table 1), as
well as the level of additional transit ridership attracted by the
Orange Line following its opening.  Table 3 summarizes work trip
travel times in the Corridor.  There is relatively little
difference among the three commuters sub-markets.

TRANSIT RIDER DEMOgraphics AND TRAVEL CHARACTERISTICS: 1994 SURVEY

     The March, 1994 survey of riders on CTA's Orange Line, though
undertaken only 4 months after the opening of the line, gives a
useful profile of the travel and demographic characteristics of now
Southwest Side CTA rail passengers (3).  An important feature of
the survey was to learn more about those riders who formerly
traveled by automobile.

                                    -3-
                                 
TABLE 1. CORRIDOR TRAVELER WORK TRIP MODE: 1990

     Mode                  Commuter Travel Market
                Core       Secondary        Tertiary        Total

Drove Alone     59.4%      44.4%            62.1%           57.5%
Car Pool        16.1%      21/4%            15.2%           16.8%
Bus             17.1%      20.0%            10.8%           14.6%
Rapid Transit    0.9%       3.6%             1.8%            1.8%
Metra            0.5%       1.2%             3.0%            1.9%
Cycling          0.2%       0.3%             0.2%            0.2%
Walk             4.2%       6.6%             4.9%            5.1%
Taxi             0.1%       0.1%             0.2%            0.1%
Other            0.5%       1.3%             0.5%            0.7%
Worked at Home   0.9%       1.0%             1.3%            1.2%

                100.0%     100.0%           100.0%         100.0%


TABLE 2.  CORRIDOR HOUSEHOLD WORKERS IN FAMILY:  1990 
     
Workers in Household             Commuter Travel Market

                      Core       Secondary       Tertiary         Total

     Zero             16.0%           22.3%      14.9%            17.0%
       1              29.6%           32.4%      28.3%            29.7%
       2              36.8%           29.6%      38.9%            36.0%
       3+             17.6%           15.7%      17.8%            17.3%

     Mean              1.56            15.7       1.60             1.54

                                    -4-

TABLE 3.  CORRIDOR TRAVELER WORK TRIP TRAVEL TIME:  1990


     Travel Time                 Commuter Travel Market

     (minutes)        Core       Secondary       Tertiary         Total

     Less than 10     7.1%            7.6%       9.8%              8.6%
       10-14          9.8%            9.6%      10.9%             10.3%
       15-19         11.4%           12.5%      12.9%             12.0%
       20-24         13.7%           11.7%      11.9%             12.4%
       25-29          5.3%            4.6%       4.8%              4.9%
       30-34         17.2%           18.7%      16.5%             17.2%
       35-39          3.3%            2.9%       3.2%              3.2%
       40-44          4.8%            5.0%       4.6%              4.8%
       45-59         12.8%           13.1%      11.9%             12.4%
       60-89         11.3%           10.4%      10.2%             10.6%
        90+           2.3%            2.8%       2.7%              2.6%
     Worked at Home   1.0%            1.0%       1.3%              1.2%

        Mean         34.0            34.2       32.9              33.6
     
Survey Design

     While Origin-Destination (O-D) information was primarily
desired for current and former auto users, and those making now
trips, all riders were asked trip purpose, name of the street
intersection and city of their trip's origin and destination, and
mode of access to the Orange Line.  Due to time constraints, only
the "new rider" O-D information was coded and used in the trip
length analysis.

     The survey also asked riders how they made the trip before the
Orange Line opened, and where they had seen or heard about the
line.  Riders were also asked for standard demographic information:
sex, zip code at home, ethnicity, age, household size, household
vehicle availability, and income.  Rider suggestions for
improvements to the Line and respondent contact information were
also requested.

                                    -5-

     Based on this survey of initial riders, the market area is
larger than planners envisioned back in 1982, and as estimated from
a more recent analysis of market potentials (4).  There are
patterns within the area: "Core" riders (51%) come from three
zipcodes (60629, 32, 38) that encompass the Kedzie, Pulaski, and
Midway stations and the area west and south of Midway Airport,
beyond the rail line (see Figure 2).  To cover two-thirds (67.8%)
of the home locations, three additional zipcode areas (60608, 09,
52) --- the 'secondary' submarket --- must be added, covering the
Western, 35th, and Ashland stations, and a neighborhood further
south of the three core zipcodes.  The last third of riders are
spread out over a large area, and include out-of-towners using
Midway Airport.

     Survey results are presented here in two ways.  First, basic
trip and demographic characteristics of all survey respondents are
described.  This includes trip purpose, mode of access, geographic
distribution of riders, prior mode used, auto ownership, household
income, and related characteristics.  Second, many of these same
characteristics for now riders --- not previous CTA bus or rail
passengers --- are given, including trip length.

Demographic Characteristics

     Tables 4 through 8 summarize the demographic characteristics
of respondents, and compare Orange Line riders with the Corridor as
a whole. 54% were female, while the age distribution of riders is
primarily among the working age population, with 53% of all riders
aged 18-34.  Ethnicity/race generally reflected overall corridor
characteristics: 61% of respondents were White, 22% Hispanic, and
13% African American.

     Just over one-third (36%) of respondents were from one- or
two-person households, while another 40% were from three- or four-
person households.  The mean household size was 3.4 persons. 
Household incomes were fairly evenly distributed across the range
shown in Table 7, with 9% under $ 10,000 and 16% over $60,000.  The
income levels of survey respondents were generally higher than the
1989 incomes reported in the 1990 Census, partly explained by
inflation.  Only 15% of households reported no autos available,
with 37% one-car households and 33% two-car households (See Table
8).  Auto ownership of CTA-rider households was significantly
higher than that reported in the 1990 Census, where zero-auto
households, in particular, fell at 25%.

                                    -6-

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                                    -7-

Travel Characteristics

Trip Purpose

     Trips made on the Orange Line were most likely for work
(60.6%) or school (13.6%), with 3.4% strictly for airline travel
(See Table 9).  Another 6.4% were workrelated trips.  Only 2.2%
were shopping trips, but 5.0% were social.  Work was more dominant
as a trip purpose than for CTA riders in general (44%) (5).

     Ridership is heaviest in the morning peak (6-10 A.M. for this
survey).  Riders were surveyed in proportion to boardings by time-
of-day, using the hourly data from the now turnstiles at the branch
stations, and annual observation of the Loop stations' diurnal
patterns.

Prior Travel Mode

     Nearly a quarter (23.7%) of all riders formerly drove all the
way, got a ride, or just started traveling in the corridor (now
residents or now workers at auto-owning households).  The latter
are assumed to represent potential automobile commuters, as a part
of the total market share diverted from automobiles (See Table 10)
Sixtyfive percent of all users formerly utilized the rather
extensive diagonal bus service in the corridor, focused on radial
service to the Chicago Downtown.  A surprisingly large group (8%)
used other CTA rapid transit lines, most likely the Red and Green
Lines to the east.  Very few had used the commuter rail network,
Metra (2%), reflecting the low level of Metra service convenient to
this corridor.

     This level of auto diversions, about 25% of line ridership, is
consistent with the original ridership forecast of the 1982
Alternatives analysis, although the total ridership on the Orange
Line currently falls short of opening day forecasts, by about 35%. 
This result in part reflects significant changes experienced
nationwide in the ability of transit to compete with the
automobile, over the last decade.  Transit market share has
steadily eroded, calculated against a base of increasing auto
ownership and trip-making rates (6,7).  Nevertheless, the Orange
Line's October ridership levels of 37,500 daily rides represents a
43% gain over its first month, and compares quite favorably with
other rail new starts across the country (8).

                                    -8-

TABLE 4. CORRIDOR RESIDENT VS.  TRANSIT RIDER AGE DISTRIBUTION

                      Corridor Demographic Profile

     Age                              1994 CTA Rider
                      1990 Census        Survey


Under-12 years             19.9%             --
     12-17                  8.9%            6.9%
     18-24                 11.2%           23.5%
     25-34                 17.7%           29.4%
     35-44                 12.9%           21.2%
     45-64                 16.9%           16.5%
      65+                  12.4%            2.4%

                          100.0%          100.0%


TABLE 5. CORRIDOR RESIDENT VS.  TRANSIT RIDER ETHNICITY

                      Corridor Demographic Profile

     Ethnicity                        1994 CTA Rider
                      1990 Census        Survey

White                      50.9%            60.8%
Hispanic                   23.2%            22.4%
African-                   23.7%            13.0%
American
Asian                       2.0%             0.8%
American Indian             0.2%             0.3%
Other                       0.1%             2.7%
           
                          100.0%           100.0%

                                    -9-

TABLE 6. CORRIDOR TRAVELER VS.  TRANSIT RIDER HOUSEHOLD SIZE
                           
                                 Corridor Demographic Profile
Persons Per
Household                                   1994 CTA Rider
                1990 Census                      Survey

     1                24.0%                      11.7%
     2                25.0%                      23.7%
     3                16.8%                      19.4%
     4                14.9%                      21.4%
     5                 9.8%                      12.3%
     6                 4.9%                       6.4%
     7+                4.6%                       5.1%

                     100.0%                      100.0%


TABLE 7. CORRIDOR TRAVELER VS.  TRANSIT RIDER HOUSEHOLD INCOME

                                 Corridor Demographic Profile
Annual Household
     Income                                 1994 CTA Rider
                      1990 Census                Survey

 Under $10,000             18.9%                        9.1%
$10,001-20,000             17.6%                       13.0%
$20,001-30,000             16.8%                       17.2%
$30,001-40,000             14.8%                       19.9%
$40,001-50,000             11.5%                       14.3%
$50,001-60,000              7.9%                       12.0%
 Over $60,000              12.5%                       15.5%

                          100.0%                      100.0%
     
                                   -10-


TABLE 8. CORRIDOR TRAVELER VS.  TRANSIT RIDER VEHICLE AVAILABILITY


                                 Corridor Demographic Profile
     Vehicles Available
       in Household                              1994 CTA Rider
                                 1990 Census     Survey

           Zero                       25.4%            14.7%
            1                         38.8%            37.2%
            2                         26.4%            33.0%
            3+                         9.4%            15.2%

                                     100.0%           100.0%


                 TABLE 9. TRANSIT RIDER TRIP PURPOSE: 1994

                                 Commuter Travel Market
     Trip Purpose
                           Core       Secondary  Tertiary   Total
     

Work                       66.6%      58.8%      71.1%      60.6%
School                     12.8%      16.6%      15.4%      13.6%
Work-Related                5.7%       4.4%       5.4%       6.4%
Work, Multiple Response     3.1%       4.3%       0.0%       3.4%
Airline Travel              0.1%       1.5%       6.5%       3.3%
Shopping                    2.4%       2.6%       1.6%       2.2%
Social                      4.9%       4.8%       1.9%       5.0%
Other                       4.0%       6.0%       3.4%       4.9%
Non-Work, Multiple          0.4%       1.0%       0.7%       0.7%
     Response              

                           100.0%     100.0%     100.0%     100.0%

                                   -11-

TABLE 10.  PRIOR MODE USED BY TRANSIT RIDERS: 1994

                                 Commuter Travel Market
     Prior Mode
                           Core       Secondary  Tertiary   Total

Transit
 CTA Bus                    75.2%      68.9%     50.4%      62.8%
 CTA Rapid Transit          4.8%        7.5%     13.7%       8.3%
 Metra                      0.6%        2.2%      8.8%       2.3%

Auto
 Drove All the Way          9.2%       11.3%     13.7%      11.4%
 Got a Ride                 3.6%       4.4%       4.0%       4.7%
 Auto, Multiple             2.2%       1.1%       2.5%       1.9%
Response                    0.0%       0.0%       0.0%       0.3%
 Taxi                       2.4%       3.0%       5.5%       5.4%
 Just Started/New                

Other                       2.0%       1.6%       1.4%       2.6%

                          100.0%     100.0%     100.0%     100.0%

     One of the primary variables influencing Orange Line success
in attracting former automobile travelers lies in comparative
travel times.  As indicated in Table 11, the Orange Line provides
significantly faster service, with reasonable waiting times, than
predecessor express and local bus routes.  In the A.M. peak it is
33-39% faster than equivalent express bus service, and 41% faster
than local bus service.  Under congested freeway operating
conditions on the Stevenson expressway, the Orange Line travel time
from Midway Airport is roughly equivalent to, or slightly better
than, automobile freeway travel time to the Chicago Loop.  These
relative travel time gains were critical to the modal utility
values employed in the ridership forecasting done in 1982 (1), and
indicate that the service quality gains initially planned are being
realized.

 Access Mode

     The most frequent mode of access to the Orange Line is bus at
41%, followed by walking (26%) (Table 12).  A surprisingly high 13%
park & ride (and 11 % kiss & ride), indicating many folks parking
on neighborhood streets as well as in the Park & & Ride lots near
several stations.  Park & Ride lots at three of the last four
stations along the line receive considerable use, particularly the
last two at Midway and Pulaski stations (300 spaces each), which
fill up early in the morning peak.  Bus access includes both Pace
and CTA bus routes, both of which have seen ridership growth
concomitant with the Orange Line's growth (3).

                                   -12-


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                                   -13-

RIDERSHIP TRENDS

     Ridership started at 26,200 each weekday in November, 1993,
and climbed to 37,500 by the end of October, 1994.  As indicated
above, that represents a 43% gain over eleven months, a rousing
start for this now line.  The upper line on Figure 3 shows total
line boardings, at all 16 stations.  The lower line shows boardings
at the eight branch line stations only, excluding the CBD stations.
(Note: The survey data on which this paper is based were collected
in early March, when total ridership was 32,000 each weekday.)

     Boardings by station, shown in Figure 4, come directly from
the new fare collection turnstiles, which send registrations by
fare type to a central computer each day.  The new registration
equipment at the branch stations has eliminated manual data entry,
a welcome improvement that speeds receipt of the counts by three
weeks.  Midway and Pulaski are the busiest branch stations,
accounting for 50% of all branch station boardings.  They see about
5-6,000 riders entering each day, with the Midway station alone
typically at 28% or more of branch boardings.


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                                   -16-
                      
Air Quality lmpact

     Based on the survey results reported earlier, in terms of
prior mode utilized, comparisons were made against actual bus and
rail ridership statistics for the corridor.  The first two weeks of
February 1993 and 1994 were selected as a baseline.  Bus ridership
on the ton diagonal routes serving the corridor fell 21,400 over
those twelve months (from 45,900 on an average weekday to 23,800,
then adjusted for an overall system ridership loss that was netted
out).  Figure 5 summarizes these prior mode percentages, applied to
an Orange Line average weekday ridership of 30,300, for the first
two weeks in February.

     Similar analyses were conducted for June and October 1994 (see
Figure 5).  The following assumptions were made: Metra/other
ridership would hold at 1,600 daily weekday trips diverted; CTA
rail ridership (other lines) diverted would increase slightly, from
2,600 to 2,800 weekday trips; and 1,700 "lost" bus trips, assumed
reverting back to some form of auto travel, would decrease to
1,500.  Five of the parallel diagonal bus routes were eliminated,
leaving only five routes continuing to provide service, by October
1994.

     Based on these assumptions and bus service changes, Figure 5
indicates that auto diversions to the new Orange Line increased
from 21.1 % in February to 28.3% in October 1994. In February these
now transit riders represented a growth of 19.3 % in corridor
transit trips, and by October this increase was 31.0%. This in turn
represents an increase from an estimated 3.2% growth in CTA
corridor market share, for transit work trips, in February (from
16.4% to 19.6%) to an estimated 5.1 % growth in CTA corridor market
share by October (from 16.4% to 21.5%).

     Figure 6 summarizes the air quality improvement implications
of these former auto travellers diverted to the Orange Line, for
each of the three 1994 observation points.  The number of auto
vehicle-miles avoided due to the Orange Line capturing former (and
potentially new) auto trips is indicated, based on a survey-derived
11.3 miles average origin to destination trip length.  Trip
distances for former auto trips were calculated using an algorithm
relating O/D address locations to the grid street network, in the
survey analysis.  Figure 6 also indicates the number cold starts
avoided, assuming one cold start for every auto trip diverted to
transit (ignoring possible auto driver vs. passenger differences).

     Figure 6 also indicates an adjustment for not counter-
balancing of air quality impacts, via consideration of auto access
to transit, by either new or shifted Orange Line riders.  In this
calculation, any auto access to prior CTA service was ignored, thus
assuming that all auto access trips are new, making a now impact,
and not just a continuation of prior behavior by shifted riders.
(For example, those who may have driven to access an Archer or
Narragansett express bus are not considered.  Had they

                                   -17-


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                                   -18-

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                                   -19-

been, they would have lessened somewhat the amount of new auto
access trips.)  For simplicity, the March 1994 survey result of
13.0% of weekday boardings representing auto/park-ride (or kiss-
ride) travelers was assumed to hold constant with ridership
growth.

     In fact, limited parking supply at the outermost two stations,
and the imposition of neighborhood parking restrictions near
several stations, may indicate an over-estimate of this counter-
balancing subtraction of auto access to transit vehicle miles and
cold starts avoided.  Estimated air quality improvements being
achieved by October 1994 may be somewhat on the low side.  A
survey-derived average length of auto access trips of 4.0 miles was
used in the calculations.

     Figure 6 indicates that by October 1995, a net impact of 5,700
average weekday cold starts, and 100,300 average weekday automobile
vehicle-miles, were being avoided by the Orange Line.  These
significant impacts show a positive contribution to air quality in
the service corridor.

IMPORTANCE OF CONSISTENT SERVICE QUALITY AND EFFECTIVE MARKETING

     The significantly improved service quality offered by the
Orange Line was the key factor in attracting both former bus riders
(many of whom are required to make a transfer, as compared to their
former 1-seat bus ride), as well as former automobile travelers. 
As a part of establishing a positive overall image for the Line,
and building significant ridership from opening day, a major
marketing campaign was deemed by CTA management as an essential
undertaking (9, 10).  While it is not possible to separately
indicate that portion of additional ridership which could be
directly attributed to marketing efforts, the rider survey also
established clearly that CTA's marketing efforts reached most
Orange Line riders, and helped contribute to their "conversion" to
rail transit.

     Even before a marketing program was formulated, CTA Service
Delivery staff conducted a series of community forums over the
summer and early fall of 1993.  The purpose of the forums, held in
conjunction with local community organizations in the market area,
was to alert residents to the forthcoming Line, outline its basic
service features, and answer questions regarding changes in overall
transit service.  Of particular concern to many residents were
proposed changes to the bus service to which they had become
accustomed.  In fact, for that portion of riders who still
expressed preference for express bus service, explanations were
necessary to carefully indicate the advantages (and disadvantages)
of the now rail line.

     CTA's CMAQ-funded marketing campaign was one of the largest
CTA has ever undertaken, using almost all paid media, and the
Line's opening was well-reported on TV news.  Most riders saw the
paid promotions, about 4 in 5. The "free"

                                   -20-


media---TV, radio, or printed news reports---were seen or heard by
somewhat less than half of surveyed riders.  And, most importantly,
now riders saw the paid promotions---about three quarters
identified a billboard, print or radio ad they had seen.

Sources Of Riders' Information

     Orange Line riders were asked in the survey to indicate how
they had seen or heard about the Orange Line, prior to riding it. 
Answers were grouped into three areas: advertising, news accounts,
and other sources (see Table 13).

     CTA's advertising and promotional campaign clearly had major
impact on Orange-Line riders, since 79% of them mentioned at least
one of the different promotional efforts.  Fewer than half of all
riders mentioned news accounts (44%) or other sources, such as
friends and family (49%).

     The single most successful method for reaching CTA riders
regarding the Orange Line was carcards placed on CTA buses, noticed
by 63% of Orange Line riders.  This was followed by:

     ù     similar advertisements at CTA train stations (43%)

     ù     billboards along the Stevenson Expressway and elsewhere
           (43%)

     ù     newspaper ads (43%)

     ù     radio ads were heard by 32% of riders
           magazine ads read by 14%.

New Rider Profile

     As a guide to future marketing efforts for the Orange Line, to
be carried out in 1994-1995, further stratification of survey
results for the 1/4 who were "new riders" was undertaken.

     The 23.7% of survey respondents who represented new riders
differed from the remaining survey respondents in several ways:

-    Work and school were less significant as trip purposes, 77%
     versus 62% for shifted riders, while to/from a work-related
     activity or increased from 5% to 1 0%.  Airline travel was
     also an important trip purpose for now riders, increasing to
     9%, vs. 2% for shifted riders.

                                   -21-

-    Park & ride was more important as a mode of access for new
     riders, 25% versus 10% for shifted riders, while CTA or Pace
     bus access declined from 52% to 28%.  Got-a-ride was at 14%,
     with walked 28%, compared to 10% and 26%, respectively, for
     shifted riders.

-    These results match expectations from the Midway Line Market
     Potential Survey of 1992 (4).  In that survey non-transit
     users said they were more likely to access the line by auto. 
     Nevertheless, over half of new transit riders used bus or
     walked to the Orange Line.

-    Drove all the way was the primary mode formerly used (52%),
     followed by got-a-ride at 22%, and just started making this
     trip since Orange Line opened at 25%.

-    Eighty percent of Orange Line riders who shifted from other
     transit services formerly rode buses, 11 % rode another CTA
     rail line, 3% took Metra, and 6% took other modes.

-    New riders were more likely male (56% vs 44% of shifted
     riders), while females declined correspondingly.

-    More Whites (68% vs 59%) and fewer Hispanics (14% vs 24%) were
     represented among new transit riders, as compared to shifted
     riders.

-    Auto ownership was somewhat higher for new users, from 55%
     classed as zero- or one-auto households down to 42%, and 41%
     up to 54% classed as two- or three-auto households---an
     interesting commentary on the increased attractiveness of rail
     over bus.

-    Combined household income was higher for new users---only 28%
     reported incomes under $30,000 (compared to 42% for other
     users), while 23% (vs 13%) reported incomes over $60,000.

Sources Of Information For New Riders

     New transit riders, like riders shifted from other transit,
learned of the new line from various promotional materials, rather
than just observing the line's construction.  Because transit
ridership typically turns over 15-20% every 12-18 months or so, it
is of value to know whether new trip-makers ("just started making
this trip") learned about Orange Line service differently than
those already traveling by auto, and who made the big change to
rail transit.  About 5% of all respondents are making a new trip in
the corridor, but these riders represent about 1/5 of the overall
market of now transit riders.

- 22 -

     The single most successful method for reaching now CTA riders
regarding the Orange Line was carcards placed on CTA buses, noticed
by over half of Orange Line riders (see Tables 14 and 15).
Presumably this occurred on prior (perhaps infrequent) CTA bus
rides, different from the ride surveyed in March.  This was similar
for both former auto trips and new corridor trips.

-    Riders making new trips were less likely to have seen similar
     advertisements at CTA train stations, 20% vs 31% of former
     auto travelers.

-    Billboards along the Stevenson Expressway and elsewhere were
     seen by both former auto users (40%) and new corridor trips
     (36%).

-    Newspaper ads were seen by 38% of former auto travelers and
     32% of new corridor trips.

-    Radio ads were heard by 35% of former auto users and 27% of
     new corridor trips.

-    Magazine ads were read by 16% of former auto travelers and a
     similar 15% of new corridor trips.

TABLE 13.  SOURCES OF INFORMATION ABOUT ORANGE LINE

           Ads (79%)       News Accounts (44%)   Other Places (49%)

     14%   Magazines       29%   Television      37%   Friends
     32    Radio           20    Radio           21    Family Members
     43    Newspapers      25    Newspapers      22    Co-Workers
     43    Billboards      6     Magazines       10    CTA Employees
     63    CTA Buses                              4    Other
     43    CTA Train 
           Stations

NOTE:      Respondents could mention more than one information
           source.  The total percentage for each of the three
           categories is consequently higher than for any one of
           them, since multiple mentions were given. 1,858
           respondents.

                                   -23-

TABLE 14. SOURCES OF INFORMATION: DIVERTED FROM AUTO & NEW RIDERS

           Ads (74%)  News Accounts (41 %)       Other Places (53%)

16%  Magazines        29%  Television            40%   Friends
35   Radio            20   Radio                 20    Family Members
38   Newspapers       22   Newspapers            22    Co-Workers
40   Billboards       7    Magazines             9     CTA Employees
51   CTA Buses                                   5     Other
31   CTA Train
     Stations

NOTE:  Multiple responses allowed. 375 respondents.

TABLE 15.  SOURCES OF INFORMATION: NEW CORRIDOR TRIPS ONLY

           Ads (66%)  News Accounts (30%)        Other Places (48%)

15%  Magazines        16%  Television            37%   Friends
27   Radio            14   Radio                 18    Family Members
32   Newspapers       19   Newspapers            17    Co-Workers
36   Billboards       8    Magazines             8     CTA Employees
52   CTA Buses                                   5     Other
20   CTA Train
     Stations

NOTE:      Multiple responses allowed. 93 respondents.

CONCLUSIONS: EARLY LESSONS LEARNED

lmproved Service Levels

-    To achieve significant diversion of automobile users to
     transit, competitive travel times are essential---both in
     relation to conventional mixed traffic bus service (even if
     express) and automobile travel.

-    Even more important, perceived travel times must be regarded

                                   -24-
 
     favorably, particularly in terms of schedule reliability and-
     wait time, smooth, uninterrupted inter-station vehicle flow;
     and efficient passenger movements through stations.

-    New grade-separated and/or express transit service must get
     off to a good start --both in terms of press coverage and
     having all the operational bugs worked out prior to opening
     day.

-    Not only must a positive image be initially established, but
     good service must be maintained as a reliable, dependable
     feature--especially for new riders.

-    "Extra effort" should consequently be a major training theme
     for employees who inaugurate new service, as a part of
     building transit ridership habits on the part of the market
     served.

Marketing and Community Outreach

-    Good paid promotional campaigns, using print media,
     billboards, radio, and in-vehicle advertising, can be very
     effective in reaching potential riders, and should be employed
     as a part of creative marketing campaigns.

-    Good press coverage, both up to, at, and after opening day,
     can also play a major, but not determining role in building a
     favorable image in the community for major transit improvement
     projects.  Every effort should be made to establish strong
     relationship with the press as a part of inaugurating new
     service.

-    Pre-opening community forums, where transit agency
     representatives explain the features of major new service
     improvements---particularly in terms of the specifics on
     associated change in present service---can help increase rider
     awareness and acceptance on opening day.

Attracting New Riders

-    Park & Ride facilities, particularly at outlying stations,
     must be large enough and convenient enough for a potentially
     sizable portion of new riders---in spite of air-quality-
     related cold start issues.

-    Park & Ride can be controversial as an access mode, not only
     because it compromises air quality gains achieved by the shift
     to transit, but because it can create neighborhood frictions
     when overflow demand

                                   -25-

     spills out onto local residential streets near rail stations,
     whose Park & Ride facilities may be too small or non-existent.

-    The most important promotional medium for reaching potential
     new riders---as well as achieving the shift from express bus
     to rail---was bus carcard advertising.  Because of the
     extensive bus coverage in the Corridor prior to Orange Line
     trains, and in the Central Area, even occasional bus riders
     saw the ads.

-    Billboards, newspaper ads, and radio spots were also effective
     marketing tools, and should be coordinated in a common-theme,
     multimedia marketing program, targeted particularly at new
     riders.

-    For opening day, the basic Orange Line message was that "Rail
     Service is here".  Successive marketing campaigns can target
     specific submarkets, with varied themes, based on research on
     the rail line's appeal.





DGS-78d
12/30/94

                                   -26-


REFERENCES



1.   Bureau of Transportation Planning and Programming.
     Alternatives Analysis/Draft Environmental Impact Statement for
     the Southwest Transit Corridor.  City of Chicago, Department
     of Public Works, September 1982.

2.   Market Research Department.  Orange Line Travel Survey. PMR-
     x94035.  Chicago Transit Authority, May 1994.

3.   Sarah J. LaBelle.  "CTA's Orange Line: A Preliminary
     Evaluation".  Paper presented at the 1994 Chicago Metropolitan
     Conference on Public Transportation Research.  University of
     Illinois at Chicago, June 1994.

4.   Marketing Strategy & Planning, Inc.  Midway Line Market
     Potential Survey. SP92-06.  Chicago Transit Authority, June
     1992.

5.   Planning and Research Department. 1990 Traveler Behavior and
     Attitudes Survey. PR91-10.  Chicago Transit Authority,
     September 1991.

6.   Michael A. Rosetti and Barbara S. Eversole.  Journey to Work
     Trends in the United States and Its Major Metropolitan Areas. 
     National Transportation Systems Center, U.S. Department of
     Transportation, Cambridge MA, November 1993.

7.   Alan E. Pisarski.  New Perspectives in Commuting.  Federal
     Highway Administration, U.S. Department of Transportation, 
     FWHA-PL-92-026, July 1992.

8.   Transportation Research Board.  Light Rail Transit: Planning,
     Design, and Operating Experience. Transportation Research
     Record 1361. 1992.

9.   K.J. Flannelly, et.al.  "Direct Comparison of Commuters
     lnterests in Using Different Modes of Transportation". 
     Transportation Research Record 1321.  Transportation Research
     Board, 1991.

10.  Steven Silkunas, "Customer Satisfaction: The Next Frontier",
     Paper presented at Transportation Research Board Annual
     Meeting, Washington, D.C., January 1993.



DGS/mlh

                                   -27-


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