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Selected and Annotated Bibliography on Congestion Pricing Measures - 1995 Update of the Metropolitan Transportation Plan for the Central Puget Sound Region





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                          TABLE OF CONTENTS


AVI-Based Tolls. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1

Parking Charges or Restrictions. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .16

License Fees . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .30

Annual VMT Charges . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .37

Fuel Taxes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .44





AVI-BASED TOLLS

"Big Brother is Clocking You",
     The Economist. August 7 1993. 71-72. This article discusses
     electronic tolling and congestion, raising the possibility of
     automated traffic police and other invasions of privacy as
     likely byproducts of this transportation technology.

"Oklahoma's Automatic Toll Collection System Expands, "
     Urban Transportation Monitor. 1991.
     This article discusses the progress being made in
     demonstration toll collection projects in Oklahoma.

Armstrong, John. "Breakthroughs in Vehicle Identification." Railway
     Age (1984):40-48.
     This article discusses technological advances in automatic
     vehicle identification.

Beesley, Michael E. and David A. Hensher. "Private Toll Roads in 
     Urban Areas: Some Thoughts on the Economic and Financial
     Issues." Transportation 16 (1990): 329-341.
     Governments of all persuasions are increasingly seeking the
     participation of the private sector in the supply of transport
     facilities and services. This paper considers some economic
     and financial problems in the private sector provision of
     major road infrastructure within urban areas. The main issues
     are attaching prices (i.e. tolls) to the provision of the
     service, the value of government rights which are being given
     up either permanently or temporarily, and the identification
     required by the promoters of the cost of capital which is
     essential information in establishing the risk. Broader
     environmental and equity issues are not addressed. If the
     approach to establishing a private presence in a previously
     public supply context is handled properly from the outset, the
     benefits can be significant. Contrarily, however, the
     prospects could be quite undesirable if badly managed, despite
     the presence of an extended public purse.

Blythe, Philip T. and Peter J. Hills. "Pricing and Monitoring
     Electronically of Automobiles, The DRIVE Project PAMELA: 1.
     The Technology." Traffic Engineering and Control 32 (No. 5,
     May 1991): 240-245.
     This paper is the first in a series of three describing the
     research being undertaken by the PAMELA consortium under the
     European Commission's DRIVE program. This paper provides an
     introduction to the PAMELA system, outlining its aims and
     objectives and describing

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     the technology being developed by the consortium to facilitate
     the two way interchange of data between a moving vehicle and
     the roadside via a microwave communications link.

Blythe, Philip T. and Peter J. Hills. "Automatic Debiting and
     Electronic Payment for Transport--The ADEPT Project." Traffic
     Engineering and Control (February. 1994)
     This paper provides an overview of the objectives and
     technology of the ADEPT project, Europe's leading research
     project in the field of road-use pricing and automatic
     debiting for road transport applications. ADEPT has developed
     an advanced transponder/smart card system which is planned for
     trial, or currently is under trial, in five European cities:
     G”teborg, Sweden; Cambridge, UK; Thessaloniki, Greece; Lisbon,
     Portugal; and Trondheim, Norway.

Borins, Sandford F. "Electronic Road Pricing: An Idea Whose Time 
     May Never Come." Transportation Research A 22A (No. 1 1988):
     37-44.
     Hong Kong's experiment with electronic road pricing showed the
     technology to be completely feasible. However, the government
     was unable to implement the scheme due to strong opposition
     from a public that perceived it as an invasion of privacy and
     a tax increase. This outcome was partly the result of forces
     unique to Hong Kong's political culture as well as both
     strategic and tactical errors made by the Hong Kong government
     in presenting its proposal. The Hong Kong experience also
     raises serious questions about whether a sophisticated road
     pricing scheme will ever be acceptable in a democratic urban
     polity.

Catling, Ian. "Automatic Vehicle Identification." In Information 
     Technology Applications in Transport, ed. Peter Bonsall and
     Michael Bell. 41-64. Chapter 3. Utrecht, The Netherlands: VNU
     Science Press BV, 1987.
     This article discusses the technical aspects of AVI
     technology.

Chaum, David. "Achieving Electronic Privacy." Scientific American 
     (August 1992):96-101.
     This paper explores a cryptographic invention known as a blind
     signature, which permits numbers to serve as electronic cash
     or to replace conventional identification. The author hopes it
     may return control of personal information to the individual.

City of Stockholm. Proposal for an Electronic Fee System for Car 
     Traffic in the Stockholm Inner City Area. The Streets and-
     Traffic Administration, Stockholm, 1989 a. Draft.
     The draft of a proposed demonstration project of electronic
     tolling.

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City of Stockholm. Zone Fee Proposal Using Car Cards. Street
     Department, Stockholm, 1989 b.
     Final document proposing congestion pricing in Stockholm.

Davies, Peter. "Vehicle Detection and Classification," in
     Information Technology Applications in Transport, ed. Peter
     Bonsall and Michael Bell. 11-40. Chapter 2. Utrecht, The
     Netherlands: VNU Science BV, 1987.
     This paper discusses the technical aspects of recognizing and
     identifying vehicles electronically, in motion.

Davies, Peter. "Testing and Appraisal of Automatic Vehicle
     Identification Systems," in Selected Proceedings of the Fifth
     World Conference on Transport Research: Transport Policy,
     Management & Technology Towards 2001 in Yokohama, Japan, July
     10-14, 1989, pp. B355-B363-.
     Provides guidelines for assessment of competing AVI systems.

Davies, Peter and Fraser K. Sommerville. "Development of Heavy-
     Vehicle Electronic License Plate Concept." Transportation
     Research Record No. 1060 (1986):121-127.
     Described in this paper is the current progress of the work
     undertaken by the authors on the development of a heavy-
     vehicle electronic license plate (HELP) system in the United
     States, combining automatic vehicle identification (AVI),
     weight-in-motion (WIM), automatic vehicle classification, and
     data communications and processing. A summary is provided of
     the results of the studies on the technical and economic
     feasibility of the HELP concept, and its further development
     before a multi-state demonstration project, known as the
     Crescent Project. The format and content of the coded
     information stored in the identification tag attached to
     vehicles is also discussed. A summary of the cost-benefit
     analysis and the proposed implementation strategy leading to
     the demonstration project is also included.

De Lozier, Edward J. How and Why AVI? 1990.
     Paper presented at the International Bridge, Tunnel and
     Turnpike Authority International Symposium on AVI Technology
     for Toll Collection, New York, N.Y. Discusses conditions under
     which automatic vehicle identification systems are appropriate
     and the implementations issues involved.

Decorla-Souza, Patrick and Anthony R. Kane. "Peak Period Tolls:
     Precepts and Prospects." Transportation 19 (1992 a): 293-311.
     This article presents the economic rationale for road pricing
     and provides some information on the magnitude of peak period
     tolls that might be justified. It discusses the impacts of
     such tolls on congestion, air quality and economic development
     and suggests a long-term

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     strategy towards area wide implementation of peak period
     pricing. In particular, it discusses some aspects of the 1991
     Intermodal Surface Transportation Efficiency Act (ISTEA) which
     will eliminate some of the current restraints on congestion
     pricing and toll highways.

Decorla-Souza, Patrick and Anthony R. Kane. "Region-Wide Toll
     Pricing: Impacts on Urban Mobility, Environment and
     Transportation Financing." In Congestion Pricing Symposium in
     Washington, D.C., June 10-12, edited by U.S. Department of
     Transportation, 1992.
     This paper discusses current trends which are increasing the
     likelihood for implementation of congestion pricing and toll
     roads in the future and the effects of area wide
     implementation of peak period tolling on highway finance,
     commuting behavior, and air quality and land use impacts.

Downey, Cheryl. "Taking A Toll." The Orange County Register July 29
     1994, Page 1.
     This article explores the difficulty involved in specifying a
     standard technology for electronic toll paying. Some
     experiences in California suggest that the smart card may be
     ahead of its time and that cheaper license plate debit tags
     are more desirable for toll officials and the public.

Duve, John L. "How Congestion Pricing Came to be Proposed in the 
     San Diego Region." In Curbing Gridlock, ed. National Research
     Council. Pages 318-333. Vol 2. Washington, D.C.: National
     Academy Press, 1994.
     The discussion in this paper covers how congestion pricing
     came to be proposed in the San Diego region and how and when
     political support developed and other evidence of how
     political leaders have publicly supported the concept of
     congestion pricing. An overview is provided of the San Diego
     Association of Governments' proposed Interstate 5 congestion
     pricing pilot program and pending enabling legislation.

Field, Brian G. "Road Pricing in Practice.' Transportation Journal 
     (Fall 1992): 5-14.
     The urban transportation problem is usually perceived as a
     disequilibrium, at peak times, between the supply of transport
     infrastructure and the demand for its use by an increasing
     population, for more journeys. Transport economists have
     generally argued that the only comprehensive long-term
     solution lies with the introduction of road pricing. This
     article evaluates Singapore's unique experience in actually
     employing the pricing mechanism to ration more effectively the
     use of roads during periods of peak demand and considers some
     ramifications of such a policy.

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Fielding, Gordon J. and Daniel B. Klein. How to Franchise Highways.
     University of California Transportation Center, 1992. Report
     No. UCTC 134.
     This paper discusses the recent interest in forming
     private/public consortiums to build and run "private" toll
     roads as an answer not only to public finance problems but
     also to address issues of congestion, pollution, and transit
     mode split.

Fong, Peter K.W. "Issues of the Electronic Road Pricing System in 
     Hong Kong." Transportation Planning and Technology 30 (1985):
     29-41.
     This paper addresses the traffic-congestion problem and issues
     relating to the experiment of the world's first pilot scheme
     on Electronic Road Pricing System in Hong Kong. A brief
     description of the technical components as well as the social,
     economic, political and environmental impact of the system are
     given. This paper intends to generate further debate and
     analysis on the system's applicability in tackling urban
     traffic congestion problems.

Foote, Robert S. "Prospects for Non-Stop Toll Collection Using
     Automatic Vehicle Identification." Transportation Quarterly 
     35 (No. 3, July 1981): 445-460.
     There are two broad parts to a fully automatic toll collection
     system: (1) a means to identify and uniquely record vehicles
     automatically as they are moving and (2) a means to confirm
     which vehicles are entitled to pass through the toll plaza
     without stopping, and to adjust their accounts to reflect the
     use they are making of the toll facility. Without the first
     part of this system, there has been little point in developing
     the second. But now, it appears, the first part of the system
     has been developed to the point where it will meet the
     performance needs of toll agencies, and work appears justified
     now to complete the entitlement checking and account
     maintenance part of the overall AVI-based toll collection
     system. This article reviews first the development and
     characteristics of the identification part of the system, then
     discusses the vehicle confirmation and accounting system
     segment.

Geltner, David and Fred Moavenzadeh. "An Economic Argument for
     Privatization of Highway Ownership." Transportation Research
     Record 1107 (1987):14-20.
     There are four potential economic justifications for
     privatizing highways: greater revenues without increased
     taxes, improved highway use efficiency, production efficiency
     of maintenance, and quality of highway services. However,
     because of market imperfections of laissez-faire private
     provision of highways, the economic feasibility and
     desirability of privatization depend on regulatory structures
     to

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     efficiently control and mitigate potential problems of excess
     tolls and inadequate maintenance. Possible types of regulatory
     structures are discussed.

Godwin, Stephen. "Congestion Pricing Symposium." TR News 169
     (November-December 1993): 22-23.
     Technological advances are making it possible to charge users
     electronically and inexpensively, without having to resort to
     toll booths. However, many of the most difficult questions
     remain. The Transportation Research Board and the Commission
     on Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education of the
     National Research Council held a Congestion Pricing Symposium
     on June 23 and 24, 1993, to address these questions. A summary
     of the background, potential of pricing on behavior, major
     issues, and current proposals is provided in this article.

G˘mez-Ib ¤ez, JosŠ Anthony. "The Political Economy of Highway
     Tolls and Congestion Pricing." Transportation Quarterly 46
     (No. 3 1992): 343-360.
     This article discusses the primary reasons behind toll road
     implementation and why piecemeal tolling is more popular in
     the U.S. than in other countries. Also discusses congestion
     pricing for highways spurred by increases in traffic load and
     air pollution.

G˘mez-Ib ¤ez, JosŠ A. and John R. Meyer. Private Toll Roads in the 
     United States: The Early Experience of Virginia and
     California. Taubman Center, John F. Kennedy School of
     Government, Harvard University, 1991.
     Final Report Prepared for the U.S. Department of
     Transportation. A growing number of states have expressed
     interest in privately financed, built and operated toll roads
     as a way of quickly and economically increasing highway
     capacity. This report assesses the prospects for private toll
     roads in the United States by examining the experience of five
     private toll proposals in Virginia and California. Although
     none of these five projects has been built yet, they are the
     most advanced proposals of their type and two are close to
     construction.

Gordon, Deborah. Intelligent Vehicle/Highway Systems: An
     Environmental Perspective, 1992. Unpublished paper.
     Since roads are used essentially free of charge, the true cost
     of maintaining our highway system is about $95 billion and the
     social costs are an additional $285 billion, while total user
     taxes generate only $35 billion. This paper evaluates the
     environmental impact of each of several IVHS scenarios.
     Negative impacts of IVHS are: 1) increased travel, i.e. VNff,
     2) increase in travel on currently under-utilized arterials
     and even local streets, increasing pollution and decreasing

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     quality of life, and 3) absorption of public and private
     resources to the extent that other technologies and innovative
     solutions will be grossly under-funded.
     Advantages are that certain IVHS technologies could buy time
     to develop better policies and technologies. The author sees
     Advanced Driver Information Systems (ADIS) and Automated
     Vehicle Control Systems (AVCS) as negative developments, but
     Advanced Traveler Information and Services (ATIS), Automatic
     Vehicle Information (AVI), Automatic Vehicle Location (AVL),
     and Weight-inMotion/Automatic Vehicle Classification (WIM/AVC)
     as positive.

Halloran James V. "Standardizing Electronic Toll Collection."
     Policy Insight No. 149 (September 1992).
     This paper reviews the technical and policy (economic, legal,
     and social) implications of electronic toll collection
     systems. It finds that the technology is developing rapidly,
     with new approaches being developed by both U.S. and European
     firms. First-generation systems which are in use today possess
     few of the features promised by second generation systems now
     in the prototype stage. The preferable regulatory approach to
     standardizing electronic toll collection would be to set only
     interim, regional, performance-based specifications that would
     encourage ongoing improvements in the technology. Over the
     longer term, the marketplace is the preferable means of
     determining standards, as has occurred in both the consumer
     electronics and personal computer industries.

Harrison, Bil. "Electronic Road Pricing in Hong Kong: 3. Estimating
     and Evaluating the Effects." Traffic Engineering and Control
     27 (January 1986):13-18.
     This paper reviews the impacts of the road pricing program in
     Hong Kong.

Hartje, Ronald L. "Tomorrow's Toll Road." Civil Engineering
     (February 1991):60-61.
     Private companies will soon be allowed to finance, build and
     operate private toll roads in California. In Orange County
     there are already three toll roads on the drawing boards for a
     total of 70 miles of urban tollways with an estimated cost of
     over $2 billion. Construction will begin in early 1991 with
     the first ribbon cutting in 1994 and is financed by a
     combination of developer fees and toll revenues. The projects
     are eligible for state and federal monies as one of the eight
     pilot projects across the country testing the waters for
     mixing public and private, monies. These activities and others
     have generated a 'toll mania , in the state that lead to the
     passage of Assembly Bill No. 680, which permits developers to
     build toll roads and collect tolls for 35 years. The

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     'Privatization Bill' has tremendous potential towards helping
     relieve what the state predicts is a $40 billion
     transportation need in the next ten years. New technology such
     as a state-of-art electronic toll collection system that
     allows toll roads without toll plazas and innovative freeway
     designs using transportation demand philosophies will all help
     in selling toll roads and making them feasible.

Hau, Timothy D. "Electronic Road Pricing: Developments in Hong Kong
     1983-1989." Journal of Transport Economics and Policy 24 (No.
     2, May 1990):203-214.
     This article provides the historic background to Hong Kong's
     electronic road pricing pilot program and discusses the
     reasons for its failure in 1985.

Hau, Timothy D. "Congestion Charging Mechanisms for Roads." World 
     Bank Policy Research Working Papers Series WPS 1071 (1992): 1-
     99.
     Of the many direct and indirect methods of charging for road
     use, the key alternatives for reducing road congestion are (1)
     cordon pricing using manual tollbooths, (2) supplementary
     vehicle licensing, (3) automatic vehicle identification, and
     (4) smart card technology.

Henion, Loyd and Barbara Koos. "The Heavy Vehicle Electronic
     License Plate System Development Program: A Progress Report."
     Transportation Research Forum Proceedings 27 (No. 1 1986):
     188-192.
     The Heavy Vehicle Electronic License Plate (HELP) System
     Development Program is a cooperative multi-state project
     designed to demonstrate the applicability and use of automated
     vehicle identification (AVI), weigh-in-motion (WIM), and
     automated vehicle classification (AVC). Participating states
     are Alaska, California, Idaho, Iowa, Minnesota, Nevada, New
     Mexico, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Washington. The
     project asks truck operators to place Heavy Vehicle Electronic
     License Plates on their vehicles. The HELP will develop and
     implement methods for improving the management of the highway
     system through a linking of this electronic equipment by a
     telecommunication network accessible to all participants, both
     public and private. The project will illustrate how WIM and
     AVC, when integrated with a HELP system, can provide the
     states, federal government, and private industry with vital
     information for a variety of needs such as pavement and fleet
     management. This paper presents the goals of the projects, the
     organization, and the potential benefits and impacts.

Henscher, David A. "Electronic Toll Collection." Transportation
     Research 25A (No. 1, January 1991): 9-16.

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     This article reviews the technology and results involved in
     various electronic toll collection projects.

Holland, Edward P. and Peter L. Watson. "The Design of Traffic
     Pricing Schemes." Transportation Engineering 48 (No. 2,
     February 1978): 32-38.
     This paper, based on research and on concurrent discussions
     with Singapore India officials, highlights factors that need
     to be considered in deciding whether to use road pricing in
     any specific city and in developing a detailed design for
     specific circumstances and objectives.

Johnston, Robert A., Mark A. DeLuchi, Daniel Sperling, and Paul P. 
     Craig. "Automating Urban Freeways: Policy Research Agenda."
     Journal of Transportation Engineering 116 (4 1990): 442-460.
     Population growth, continuing suburbanization, and higher
     labor force-participation rates, combined with a virtual halt
     in new freeway construction, have led to rapid increases in
     traffic congestion in the U.S. This congestion is costly; for
     example, the cost of highway congestion in the Los Angeles
     region is estimated to be $3.6 billion per year. Roughly half
     of this congestion is estimated to be caused by incidents, and
     63% is on freeways. Automated freeways have been proposed as a
     solution to urban traffic congestion. This paper describes the
     staged development of automated urban freeways and then
     suggests a series of research topics related to the major
     policy issues of road capacity, air quality, noise, safety and
     liability, cost and equity, privacy, and organizational
     complexity. These difficult questions should be resolved
     before public acceptance for the technology is sought. Policy
     research on these matters should be carried out before or at
     the same time as the technology is being developed.

Jones, Peter M. and Arild Hervik. "Restraining Car Traffic in
     European Cities: An Emerging Role for Road Pricing."
     Transportation Research 26A (No. 2, March 1992): 133-145.
     Urban traffic problems are now a key political issue in most
     European countries; in terms of congestion, road safety, and
     the environment. The response to date in many cities has been
     to rely on parking controls, better traffic management, and
     congestion itself to contain traffic. . Increasingly, in the
     larger cities, some form of direct restraint on traffic levels
     will be necessary as car ownership continues to rise. The
     paper first assesses a number of non-pricing restraint
     measures, including restrictions on traffic speed and network
     capacity, and regulatory controls on access. It then considers
     what role road pricing might play. Three objectives are
     identified, and a number of key factors affecting
     implementation are discussed, including technology, privacy,
     equity, and the allocation of revenues. One aspect where there
     is little empirical evidence concerns likely response of
     drivers to road charges,

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     and the size of the elasticities. Drawing on experience from a
     number of toll schemes in Norway, some new evidence on driver
     response is presented. This paper concludes by summarizing
     current developments regarding road pricing in different
     European countries, and assesses the potential of the measure
     as a demand management tool in the future.

Kacir, Kent, Jeff Memmott, and Robert Ruffley. Feasibility of
     Congestion Pricing as an Energy Conservation Measure. The
     Texas Transportation Institute, 1993. Study Number 60029.
     This report is a feasibility study on the potential of
     congestion pricing as an energy conservation measure. Although
     congestion pricing entails many different strategies or
     schemes, this report primarily focuses on road pricing for
     highway type facilities. This report evaluates existing and
     planned toll roads for their involvement with automated
     vehicle identification and electronic toll collection as these
     two technologies are viewed as a vital element in any
     congestion pricing program or scheme. The economic feasibility
     of congestion pricing is evaluated. Case studies are made in
     Singapore, Hong Kong, and Oslo, Norway. The impact on fuel
     consumption is made using a freeway simulation model, focusing
     on using the HOV lane as a congestion priced facility.

Klein, Daniel B. and Gordon J. Fielding. "Private Toll Roads:
     Learning from the 19th Century." Transportation Quarterly 46
     (July 1992).
     This paper contrasts modern private toll-road projects with
     those of the 19th century. The purpose is to clarify the
     objectives of toll road corporations and to show how the
     business and fiscal environment affect whether such
     corporations will operate. Just as actions taken in the 1790's
     greatly influenced a movement lasting over a century, the
     success or failure of private toll roads in the 1990's may
     determine the future of American road building.

Kraus, Marvin. "The Welfare Gains from Pricing Road Congestion
     Using Automatic Vehicle Identification and On-Vehicle Meters."
     Journal of Urban Economics 25 (3 1989): 261-281.
     It is a widely accepted proposition that there is general
     underpricing of auto travel in U.S. cities. For most urban
     auto travel, tolls consist almost entirely of the gasoline
     excise tax. The purpose of this study is to estimate the
     welfare gains which are possible under different regimes for
     imposing higher auto tolls in urban areas. The three regimes
     studied are associated with a higher gas tax and systems
     called automatic vehicle identification, and on-vehicle
     metering.

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Lampe, Andrew J. "Effects of Road Access Pricing at the Los Angeles
     Airport: A Case Study. ITE Journal 63 (Number 12, December
     1993): 22-24.
     As a result of increasing congestion at the terminal, LAX
     installed an AVI system to reduce traffic congestion and, at
     the same time, maximize revenues. The system installation was
     completed in 1990. All commercial vehicles (including hotel
     courtesy vans, taxis, limousines, and shuttle buses) are
     assessed a fee each time they make an appearance at the
     airport. This paper describes the system operation and
     results.

Lauridsen, Henning. The Toll Rings in Bergen and Oslo: Evolution 
     and Experience. Paper presented at the East Europe Transport
     Policy Seminar, Paris, France., 1990.
     This paper assesses two functioning toll road systems in
     Norway, discussing the effects of traffic and revenues of
     various pricing schedules and the manual versus electronic
     aspects of the projects.

Mathieu, Dave. "WIM and Electronic Truck Monitoring Gets Rave
     Reviews in State of Oregon." Weighing and Measurement 69
     (August 1985): 1217.
     This article discusses the results of the Oregon demonstration
     project and other experience of weigh-in-motion (WIM) and
     automatic vehicle identification (AVI) systems.

May, Anthony D. "Traffic Restraint: A Review of the Alternatives."
     Transportation Research 20A (No. 2, March 1986): 109-121.
     This paper draws upon a wide range of international
     experiences to assess the role that road pricing may play as a
     means of urban traffic restraint. It considers why restraint
     policies have not been more widely adopted in the face of
     mounting urban transport problems and identifies the major
     difficulties in implementation. A number of restraint policies
     are available and these are compared, using a range of
     criteria, as potential tools of transport policy. The
     conclusion which emerges is that, although the general case
     for restraint is more complex than many simplistic analyses
     have suggested, where there is a case for its introduction,
     road pricing, in a fairly simple form, offers the most
     effective approach. Finally, consideration is given to the
     future research needs into restraint measures.

May, Anthony D. "International Experiences with Congestion
     Pricing." ITE Journal 63 (Number 12, December 1993): 14-20.
     This article provides an overview of developments outside the
     United States by assessing the objectives of congestion
     pricing; the types of systems envisaged; the benefits, both
     actual and potential; and the

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     factors that have led to its rejection. The article concludes
     with a brief assessment of the potential for future
     implementation.

May, Anthony D. "Potential of Next Generation Technology." In
     Curbing Gridlock, ed. National Research Council. Pages 405-
     463. Vol. 2. Washington, D.C.: National Academy Press, 1994.
     The purpose of this paper is to review the capability of
     technology to provide for the kinds of pricing (of urban
     congestion) that economists assume in the best case--the
     ability to vary prices with changes in conditions and to
     communicate this information to drivers so that they have
     genuine price signals in advance of making their decision
     about route or trip timing. The scope of the paper includes
     point and cordon pricing, pricing based on time and distance,
     as well as parking pricing.

Menon, A.P. Gopinath, Sol-Hol Lam, and Henry S.L. Fan. "Singapore's
     Road Pricing System: Its Past, Present and Future." ITE
     Journal 63 (Number 12, December 1993): 44-48.
     Singapore is the first city in the world to implement a cordon
     road pricing system, the Area Licensing Scheme. The system was
     implemented in June 1975 and originally was aimed at
     discouraging automobile commuting. Pricing control was only
     applied during the morning peak hours, to private cars and
     taxis. In 1989, this goal was revised to incorporate traffic
     management to curtail congestion. This paper describes the
     implementation and results of this system.

Oldridge, Brian. Congestion Metering in Cambridge City.
     Cambridgeshire County Council, Cambridge, 1991. Paper
     presented at the PTRC Conference on "Practical Possibilities
     for a Comprehensive Transport Policy With or Without Road
     Pricing."
     This paper discusses the demonstration project proposed for
     Cambridge, which will involve electronic congestion meters
     installed in vehicles. Vehicles, once entering the cordon ring
     around the city, will have their transponders turned on
     automatically when they encounter congestion. The meter stops
     charging only when the vehicle leaves the cordon or the engine
     is switched off.

Olson, David J. "Pricing Urban Roadways; Administrative and
     Institutional Issues." In Curbing Gridlock ed. National
     Research Council. Pages 216249. Vol. 2. Washington, D.C.:
     National Academy Press, 1994.
     This paper attempts to move beyond the economic and technical
     dialogue over congestion pricing to address the implications
     for congestion pricing of institutional, administrative, and
     political issues. The author gives a broad overview of
     alternative institutional arrangements available to various
     metropolitan area organizations.

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Pietrzyk, Michael C. 'Electronic Toll Collection Systems." In
     Curbing Gridlock, ed. National Research Council. Pages 464-
     501. Vol. 2. Washington, D.C.: National Academy Press, 1994.
     This paper describes the technology available for a variety of
     electronic toll collection systems. It discusses design
     considerations, institutional and implementation issues, cost
     considerations, payment options, privacy issues, and future
     trends in the industry. The paper includes a listing of
     current electronic toll projects containing program
     descriptions, and specifications.

Poole, R.W., Jr. "Resolving Gridlock in Southern California."
     Transportation Quarterly 42 (No. 4, October 1988): 499-527.
     This paper argues that no more freeways should be built in
     Southern California, rather, all new capacity should be
     tollways, employing electronic toll collection, built and
     operated by private enterprise rather than government. Direct
     pricing on freeways would have three important advantages: (1)
     reduced demand for freeway access, (2) shifting demand to off-
     peak periods, and (3) raising revenue for increased capacity.
     Europe and the Pacific Rim countries contain many more
     privately run toll roads than the US. In fact the Channel
     Tunnel, between Britain and France goes one step further than
     most of these projects in that it involves no government
     financing, guarantees, and ownership will not revert to
     government. With the scheduled termination of the federal
     Interstate Highway program, these programs are provoking
     increasing interest in the US as well. This article provides
     an introduction and examples for all of these concepts.

Poole, R.W., Jr. Introducing Congestion Pricing on a New Road.
     1991. Paper prepared for the Conference on Congestion Pricing,
     University of California Transportation Center.
     The political risks of charging for freeway use suggest the
     need for demonstration projects, both to introduce the public
     to the idea of congestion pricing and to collect data so as to
     quantify its effects. This paper proposes a specific
     demonstration project in Southern California. Orange County,
     part of the greater Los Angeles metro area, has five new toll
     road projects under development: two private and three public.
     Two of these projects will begin construction before the end
     of 1992. The private project to add HOV/toll lanes to SR 91
     already plans to use congestion pricing. This paper suggests
     that the public San Joaquin Hills Toll Corridor also adopt
     this technique, rather than the flat-rate tolls currently
     planned.

Public Works Department. Electronic Road Pricing (ERP) System.
     Ministry of National Development, Singapore, 1990.

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     Discussion document concerning ongoing Singapore traffic
     control measures.

Ratan, Suneel. "Traffic-Free Roads." Fortune April 5 1993, 83.
     This article reports on electronic developments in charging
     for road use and points to the most recent example of a
     private toll road, in Orange County, California, planned to go
     down the median of Route 91.

Smoke, Paul J. The Procurement, Installation, and Implementation of
     an Electronic Toll Collection and AVI System on the Gross lsle
     Toll Bridge, Gross Isle, Michigan. 1990.
     Paper presented to the International Bridge, Tunnel and
     Turnpike Association Authority International Symposium on AVI
     Technology for Toll Collection, New York, New York.
     Discusses the practical issues involved in setting up an
     automatic tolling system, using AVI technology, on the Gross
     Isle, Michigan, bridge.

Sommerville, Fraser. "Applications of Automatic Vehicle
     Identification Technology." Transport Reviews 11 (No. 2
     1991):173-191.
     Thorpe, Neil and Peter J. Hills. "Pricing and Monitoring
     Electronically of Automobiles, The DRIVE Project PAMELA: 2.
     The Scope of Automated Pricing Systems." Traffic Engineering
     and Control 32 (Nos. 7/8, August 1991): 364-370.
     This paper is the second in a series of three describing the
     research being undertaken by the PAMELA consortium under the
     European Commission's DRIVE program. In this paper two
     approaches to the operation of road-use pricing are
     discussed -- namely, discrete zone-based charging and
     continuous pricing based on congestion monitoring. However, to
     provide a longer-term solution to congestion, it is argued
     that a charging system is required that is more able to
     reflect the variable nature of the costs of congestion. By
     incorporating the automatic debiting system being developed by
     the PAMELA consortium with on-board devices capable of
     monitoring the prevailing level of congestion, a system can be
     devised that is able to charge road users directly in relation
     to the congestion they cause, as and when they cause it.

Transpotech. Electronic Road Pricing in Hong Kong, Pilot Stage:
     Economic Background and An Example. 1983. Technical Paper 1.

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     Background paper prepared for the Hong Kong Government
     discussing AVI technology, the parameters of the proposed
     project, expected results.

Transpotech. Electronic Road Pricing Pilot Scheme: Main Report.
     198-5.
     Main Report prepared for the Hong Kong Government discussing
     the strategy and approach of the demonstration project.

Waersted, K. Automatic Toll Ring No Stop Electronic Payment Systems
     in Norway: Systems Layout and Full Scale Experiences. 1992.
     Paper presented at the Sixth IEE International Conference on
     Road Traffic Monitoring and Control, London, England.
     Discusses the experience gathered from the Trondheim Toll
     Ring. Approximately 90 percent of the users of the toll
     facility during the peak morning rush hour and 85 percent of
     the secondary, shoulder peak are electronic tag holders.

Washington State Transportation Commission Innovations Unit.
     Congestion Pricing: A Transportation Demand Management Study.
     Washington State Transportation Commission, 1994. Draft.
     Final Report 94.1. Congestion pricing is a transportation
     demand strategy that seeks to reduce roadway use during
     congested periods by imposing a direct dis-incentive--a fee.
     This report describes the theory as well as the history of
     congestion pricing, implementation concepts and technologies,
     pricing guidelines, and potential benefits and risks.

Wuestefeld, Norman H. "Toll Roads." Transportation Quarterly 42
     (No. 1, January 1988): 5-22.
     This article discusses types of modern toll roads, their rates
     and how they were financed. The author explores the advantages
     and disadvantages of the toll concept and analyzes the
     conditions for a successful toll road, concluding that
     public/private partnerships will be increasingly important in
     the toll roads of the future.

Zupan, Jeffrey. "The New York Region: First in Tolls, Last in Road 
     Pricing?" In Curbing Gridlock, ed. National Research Council.
     200-215. 2. Washington, D.C.: National Academy Press, 1994.
     Experiences with tolls in the New York metropolitan area are
     reviewed. Over 45 percent of the $3.7 billion in U.S. toll
     revenue is collected in New York and New Jersey. The Port
     Authority owns and operates six tolled bridge and tunnel
     crossings connecting the two states. Seven more are operated
     by the Tri-borough Bridge and Tunnel Authority. There are many
     tolled facilities throughout the rest of the state as well.
     Discounts for bulk use have always been in effect on the Port
     Authority crossings, effectively giving the peak period user a
     price

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     break. The difficulty of changing this situation 's explored,
     implementation issues discussed, and benefits of congestion
     pricing examined.


PARKING CHARGES OR RESTRICTIONS


Adler, Moshe. "Street Parking: The Case for Communal Parking."
     Logistics and Transportation Review 21 (1985): 375-387.
     Depending on who uses it, parking on the street is governed by
     three different systems of property rights. For people who are
     not residents of the neighborhoods where they park
     (commuters), street parking is communal property. There is a
     limit on the time that they are allowed to park in one spot,
     and the allocation is on a "first come, first served" basis.
     For people who park in their own neighborhoods (residents) and
     have residential parking permits, parking is semi-private
     property. The permits allow unrestricted residents' parking,
     whereas time limits apply to all others. For people who have
     garages, street parking is almost private property. Street
     parking is, then, a case of a wide spectrum of property rights
     in one and the same good. Is one preferred to the other? This
     question is the subject of this paper. One answer is that
     communal property produces a more efficient allocation of
     street parking near attraction centers than the two variants
     of private property do.
     The criterion that is used for ranking allocations of parking
     is derived from a "willingness to pay for parking" model, and
     is independent of the system of property rights.

Arnott, Richard, AndrŠ de Palma, and Robin Lindsey. 'A Temporal and
     Spatial Equilibrium Analysis of Commuter Parking." Journal of
     Public Economics 45 (3 1991): 301-335.
     This paper examines the effects of parking availability on
     morning rush hour congestion and assesses the relative
     efficiency of road tolls and parking fees. Without pricing,
     drivers occupy parking in order of increasing distance from
     the CBD. A time-varying toll can prevent queuing, but does not
     affect the order in which parking spots are taken. Optimal
     location-dependent parking fees may be superior; they do not
     eliminate queuing, but induce drivers to park in order of
     decreasing distance from the CBD, thereby concentrating
     arrival times closer to work start times. Competitively set
     parking fees do nothing to reduce queuing, and are relatively
     inefficient.

Bhatt, Kiran. "Subsidizing Congestion: Urban Parking Policies."
     Journal of Contemporary Studies IV (No. 2, Spring 1981)
     This article reviews urban parking policies and finds they are
     in part responsible for congestion in the urban core. Through
     the

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     underpricing of parking, commuting is encouraged and mode
     splits worsen. In addition, employer-paid parking provides a
     substantial dis-incentive to ridesharing programs and transit
     use.

Bhatt, Kiran. "Review of Transportation Allowance Programs."
     Transportation Research Record 1321 (1991)
     Innovative transportation allowance programs that are
     increasingly being considered and adopted by localities to
     increase ridesharing among commuters are reviewed. The focus
     is on programs that go beyond traditional and straightforward
     transit and parking subsidy programs for employees by
     incorporating innovative elements aimed at enhancing high-
     occupancy vehicle use or developing innovative administrative
     procedures. The review addresses transit and vanpool scrip
     allowances, carpool parking allowances, parking allowances
     varying with automobile occupancies, and general travel
     allowances that commuters can use as desired. The review
     suggests that while some, but not all, of these innovative
     programs generate additional costs, they hold the promise to
     bring about significant shifts from solo driving to
     ridesharing among commuters. The acceptance by employers and
     employees affected by many of these innovative programs has
     been slow but positive in particular situations. When the
     desire and need to reduce solo driving among employees are
     strong, many of these transportation allowance programs offer
     potential solutions.

Bhatt, Kiran. Experience Relating to Congestion and Parking
     Pricing. Air Pollution Officers Association, Oakland,
     California, 1992. In conference proceedings, Market-Based
     Transportation Control: Strategies for the 90's.
     This paper discusses the effects subsidized or "free" parking
     policies have on congestion and air quality.

Burns, Malcolm R. and David J. Faurot. 'An Econometric Forecasting 
     Model of Revenues from Urban Parking Facilities." Journal of
     Economics and Business 44 (1992): 143-150.
     This article develops an econometric forecasting model for the
     revenues of a business firm. The model is estimated from the
     revenues of two parking facilities in Kansas City. Parking
     revenues are a function of local economic activity, seasonal
     factors, and facility specific events. The analysis can make
     long-term forecasts directly or augment an ARIMA model for
     more accurate short-term forecasts. Because it uses data that
     appear to be widely available, the analysis may be applicable
     to forecasting and valuation projects for a variety of retail
     businesses.

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Burns, Robert E. "Urban Road Pricing Through Selective Parking
     Taxes." Transportation Engineering Journal 98 (November 1972):
     739-755.
     This article suggests that transportation use can be affected
     through parking taxes changing the relative value of travel.

Comsis Corporation and The Institute of Transportation Engineers. 
     Implementing Effective Travel Demand Management Measures.
     Federal Highway Administration and Federal Transit
     Administration, U.S. Department of Transportation, 1993. Final
     Report DOT-T-94-02. The document reviews many travel demand
     management alternatives including road pricing, parking
     policies, and other user charges.

Feeney, B.P. "A Review of the Impact of Parking Policy Measures on 
     Travel Demand." Transportation Planning and Technology 13
     (1989): 229-244.
     This paper reviews the empirical evidence relating to the
     impact of parking policy measures on the demand for parking
     and for travel. Dis-aggregate modal choice models, dis-
     aggregate parking location models and site-specific studies of
     parking behavior are examined. With regard to modal choice
     models, it is concluded that few studies deal adequately with
     parking factors, but that there is some support for the view
     that parking policy measures are a relatively important
     influence on modal choice. When parking location models are
     examined, parking policy variables are shown to have a
     substantial impact on choice of parking location. With regard
     to site-specific studies, the paper concludes that there is a
     great variation in the parking price elasticities quoted,
     which reflects partly the methodological problems
     associated,with such studies. Suggestions to improve model
     specification are made.

Ferguson, E. "The Influence of Employer Ridesharing Programs on
     Employee Mode Choice." Transportation 17 (1990): 179-207.
     Employer ridesharing programs and employee mode choice were
     analyzed using Southern California data. Virtually all
     surveyed firms offered free or subsidized parking to some or
     all of their employees. Few responding firms estimated the
     cost of providing employee parking accurately, if at all. The
     influence of employer ridesharing programs on employee mode
     choice was modeled using weighted least squares logit
     regression analysis. Firm size was found to be the single most
     important variable identified in the analysis. Larger firms
     were more likely to offer ridesharing incentives to their
     employees, and to report direct employer benefits from
     ridesharing. Relatively few firms promoted ridesharing on a
     purely voluntary basis. A private market for employer
     ridesharing services was found to exist, however. Parking
     pricing and supply control measures probably would have a
     larger impact on employee mode split overall. Parking
     management

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     faces severe obstacles in implementation, some of which might
     be overcome through the more extensive provision of
     ridesharing services, such as personalized matching assistance
     to employees at specific employment sites by their employers.

Gillen, David. "Estimation and Specification of the Effects of
     Parking Costs on Urban Transport Mode Choice." Journal of
     Urban Economics 4 (1977): 186-199.
     The author develops a model of transportation behavior and
     mode split employing variable rates of parking as the main
     behavioral driver.

Glazer, Amihai and Esko Niskanen. "Parking Fees and Congestion." 
     Regional Science and Urban Economics 22 (1992): 123-132.
     Congestion can be caused by through-traffic and by traffic
     destined for the area where consumers park. It may appear that
     congestion should be reduced by increasing the price of
     parking. This paper shows that if road usage is sub-optimally
     priced, than a lump-sum parking fee can increase welfare, but
     a parking fee per unit of time does not. Indeed, an increase
     in the price of parking induces each person to park for a
     shorter time, allows more persons to use parking spaces each
     day, and can thereby increase traffic. For the same reason,
     consumers may prefer that parking not be free.

Hackman, Lonnie and Norene D. Martin. The Parking Industry: Private
     Enterprise for the Public Good. Washington, D.C.: National
     Parking Association, 1969.
     This book provides a comprehensive background to the
     development of the parking industry.

Haworth, S. and I.C. Hilton. 'Parking Elasticity: A Tool for Policy
     Implementation?" Traffic Engineering and Control 23 (No. 7/8
     1982).
     This article evaluates the car parking policies of Manchester
     City Council in establishing scales of parking charges. Scales
     of charges were introduced to increase revenue and to reduce
     deficits attributable to six car parks within the context of a
     policy to maximize usage of an available central-area parking
     space. An analysis of the patronage of 1-2 hour parking users
     shows how the response directly follows individual charges.
     This example 'shows the detailed control of users' response
     possible through price regulation for a specific length of
     stay at a particular car park. Problems of maximizing revenue
     from car parking in the short term, insufficient opportunity
     for trials of different charging levels, and the long term
     problems of changing population densities and business
     activities are discussed.

ANNOTATED BIBLIOGRAPHY              PAGE 19            ECO NORTHWEST





Hazell, Martin B. "Permit Programs Increase On-street Parking
     Availability in Residential Areas." ITE Journal May (1992):
     29-32.
     In response to resident's concerns about the lack of available
     on-street parking in the vicinity of their homes, the City of
     Hamilton (Canada) has enacted several different programs to
     increase the availability of parking for residents on local
     residential streets. Two of these programs involve the
     issuance of on-street parking permits to residents and are
     based on the principle of eliminating long-term nonresident
     parking. The parameters and results of these measures are
     discussed.

Higgins, Thomas. "Parking Management and Traffic Mitigation in Six 
     Cities: Implications for Local Policy." Transportation
     Research Record 1232 (1989).
     Local jurisdictions are using parking management and traffic
     mitigation policies to discourage solo driving and encourage
     transit, ridesharing, cycling, and other alternatives. This
     paper focuses on selected policies in six cities, including
     parking code requirements, encouragements for fringe or
     peripheral parking, preferential parking for car poolers, and
     requirements on new office developments (e.g., through
     developer agreements) for owner-sponsored traffic mitigations.
     The review examines the status of current parking management
     and traffic mitigation policies and issues of implementation
     and effectiveness, drawing policy implications for localities.

Higgins, Thomas. "Demand Management in Suburban Settings:
     Effectiveness and Policy Considerations." Transportation 17
     (No. 2 1990): 93-116.
     Relying on a review of employer based programs in 26 cities,
     as well as selected literature, the paper draws conclusions
     about the effectiveness of employer based transportation
     systems management (programs to encourage car pooling,
     transit, biking, cycling, walking and flextime) and parking
     management (preferential parking for car poolers, removal of
     parking subsidies, and other measures) aimed at reducing solo
     driving and peak period commuting. It was found that demand
     management programs can be effective in reducing traffic
     congestion, provided they are targeted to larger employment
     centers, accompanied by transit development, high occupancy
     vehicle incentives and parking management strategies,
     especially pricing. Flextime may discourage ridesharing.
     Guaranteed ride home services appear promising and deserve
     attention. With all strategies, long term vigilance will be
     necessary as programs are susceptible to change over time.
     Ordinances should require plans rather than specific
     strategies, as it is difficult estimating the probable
     effectiveness of particular strategies.
     Ordinances should contain sanctions for employers not carrying
     out

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     agreed-to plans, and should include fees and financing to
     support public sector review of plans and on-going monitoring.

Higgins, Thomas. "Parking Taxes: Effectiveness, Legality and
     Implementation, Some General Considerations." Transportation
     Number 19 (1992): 221-230.
     This paper evaluates the pros and cons of implementing parking
     pricing to reduce auto use and traffic through parking taxes.
     Taxes on parkers and the providers are evaluated in terms of
     effectiveness in influencing auto use, operations of the tax,
     and the legality as well as acceptability of the options. The
     intent is to help local governments evaluate parking tax
     approaches.

Higgins, Thomas and Gerald Miller. Implementing Parking Pricing
     Strategies. 1983. Urban Institute Paper 3161-1.
     Various parking pricing strategies are evaluated on the basis
     of how they affect traffic, what their effects on revenue
     generation are, and the distributional and welfare effects on
     different classes of users.

Howitt, Arnold M.."Downtown Auto Restraint Policies: Adopting and 
     Implementing Urban Transportation Innovation." Journal of
     Transport Economics and Policy_ 14 (1980): 155-167.
     This paper explores the apparent anomaly of auto restraint
     measures being recommended as beneficial by many transport
     planners, yet experiencing intense public resistance. The
     conclusion is that the public and decision-makers react not
     merely to the net benefits or costs of a policy option--the
     economist's evaluative criterion--but also to the distribution
     and visibility of its impact. As a result, auto restraint
     policies are "fragile" policy initiatives particularly
     vulnerable to political opposition and institutional inertia.

Jones, Peter M. and Arild Hervik. "Restraining Car Traffic in
     European Cities: An Emerging Role for Road Pricing."
     Transportation Research 26A (No. 2, March 1992): 133-145.
     Urban traffic problems are now a key political issue in most
     European countries in terms of congestion, road safety, and
     the environment. The response to date has been to rely on
     parking controls, better traffic management, and congestion
     itself to contain traffic. Increasingly, in the larger cities,
     some form of direct restraint on traffic levels will be
     necessary as car ownership continues to rise. The paper first
     assesses a number of non-pricing restraint measures, including
     restrictions on traffic speed and network capacity, and
     regulatory controls on access. It then considers what role
     road pricing might play. Three objectives are identified, and
     a number of key factors affecting implementation are
     discussed, including technology, privacy, equity, and the
     allocation of

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     revenues. One aspect where there is little empirical evidence
     concerns likely response of drivers to road charges, and the
     size of the elasticities. Drawing on experience from a number
     of toll schemes in Norway, some new evidence on driver
     response is presented. This paper concludes by summarizing
     current developments regarding road pricing in different
     European countries, and assesses the potential of the measure
     as a demand management tool in the future.

Kenyon, K. "Increasing Mode Split through Parking Management: A 
     Suburban Success Story." Transportation Research Record 980
     (1984): 65-69.
     Accommodating commuter trips in rapidly growing suburban
     cities that do not have high levels of transit service is a
     difficult challenge. Many cities, including Bellevue,
     Washington, must face this challenge if development is to
     continue at the current rapid pace. A new employee
     transportation program at 450 Bell Terrace, the first building
     in downtown Bellevue to be constructed under the terms of a
     new zoning code, is described. The transportation program,
     serving 900 Pacific Northwest Bell Telephone employees,
     includes a substantial ($60 per month) parking fee as a
     disincentive to drive-alone commuting and discounted or free
     parking for carpools. Parking demand must be accommodated by
     410 parking stalls in the monitored Bell Terrace parking
     garage. The intensive assistance provided by the Commuter Pool
     Program (the regional ridesharing program) and by the city of
     Bellevue ridesharing staff was instrumental in achieving a 60
     percent employee carpool participation rate. Only 19 percent
     of the employees are driving alone to work. Seventeen percent
     use transit. Other factors critical to success are the ability
     of a single firm to coordinate a program and the
     predisposition of employees accustomed to high levels of
     transit service in Seattle to form carpools in Bellevue.

Kessler, Jon and William Schroeer. Meeting Mobility and Air Quality
     Goals: Strategies that Work. US Environmental Protection
     Agency, Office of Policy Analysis, 1993. Draft report.
     Recent federal legislation sets tough Air quality goals for
     the nation but offers scant guidance to urban areas
     responsible for meeting those goals. Traditionally,
     transportation-related air quality policy emphasized cleaner
     vehicle and fuels technologies and alternatives to single-
     occupant vehicle travel such as car pooling and mass transit.
     Analysis suggests, however, that meeting air quality goals
     will require the addition of policies to manage the growing
     demand for transportation. The introduction of market forces
     into- transportation supply and demand decisions would support
     traditional transportation and air quality strategies, and
     produce additional mobility, air quality, and economic
     benefits. Recent transportation legislation offers states

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     and localities the flexibility to meet mobility and air
     quality goals in an innovative, non-traditional manner.
     Drawing on theoretical analysis and recent empirical evidence
     this paper offers a package of measures for the consideration
     of state, local, and federal policy-makers.

Kulash, Damian. Parking Taxes as Roadway Prices: A Case Study of 
     the San Francisco Experience. The Urban Institute, 1974. Paper
     No. VI, WP 1212-9.
     This paper presents an ex post facto analysis of the impacts
     of a 25% parking tax which was in effect in San Francisco from
     October 1, 1970 to June 30, 1972. It develops parking price
     elasticity estimates for various types of parking facility. It
     found that commuters demonstrated greater sensitivity to the
     price changes than did shoppers, but the overall effect on the
     number of parking stall occupancies was relatively slight. The
     impact on parking lot profitability was found to be severe.
     Because of the small effect on parking lot usage, the parking
     tax had little influence on problems of congestion, air
     pollution, and energy consumption. There was no evidence of
     any harm to downtown businesses (other than parking lots)
     which could be traced to the tax.

May, Anthony D. "Traffic Restraint: A Review of the Alternatives."
     Transportation Research 20A (No. 2, March 1986): 109-121.
     This paper draws upon a wide range of international
     experiences to assess the role that road pricing may play as a
     means of urban traffic restraint. It considers why restraint
     policies have not been more widely adopted in the face of
     mounting urban transport problems and identifies the major
     difficulties in implementation. A number of restraint policies
     are available and these are compared, using a range of
     criteria, as potential tools of transport policy. The
     conclusion which emerges is that, although the general case
     for restraint is more complex than many simplistic analyses
     have suggested, where there is a case for its introduction,
     road pricing, in a fairly simple form, offers the most
     effective approach. Finally, consideration is given to the
     future research needs into restraint measures.

May, Anthony D. "Potential of Next Generation Technology." In
     Curbing Gridlock, ed. National Research Council. Pages 405-
     463. Vol. 2. Washington, D.C.: National Academy Press, 1994.
     The purpose of this paper is to review the capability of
     technology to provide for the kinds of pricing (of urban
     congestion) that economists assume in the best case--the
     ability to vary prices with changes in conditions and to
     communicate this information to drivers so that they have
     genuine price signals in advance of making their decision
     about route or trip timing. The scope of the paper includes
     point and

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     cordon pricing, pricing based on time and distance, as well as
     parking pricing.

Miller, Gerald K. and Carol T. Everett. "Raising Commuter Parking 
     Prices -An Empirical Study." Transportation 11 (1982): 105-
     129.
     In November 1979, federal employees at many government
     facilities in Washington, D.C., and other major cities began
     to pay one-half of nearby commercial parking rates for
     government-controlled parking spaces. This paper presents the
     impacts of the parking price increases on commuting behavior
     at a sample of 15 worksites in metropolitan Washington, DC,
     and discusses their short term planning and policy
     implications. A "before and after with control group" survey
     design monitored the effects on modal shifts, automobile
     occupancy, and parking behavior. The results showed that
     removing free parking and raising parking rates (from $10 to
     $32 per month) influenced some significant shifts to higher-
     occupancy modes, but that the shifts were not uniform in
     direction or magnitude across the sites. In addition, the
     study examined how locational, travel, and employee factors
     influenced the modal shifts.

Pickrell, Don H. and Donald C. Shoup. "Land Use Zoning as
     Transportation Regulation." -Transportation Research Record
     786 (1980): 12-17.
     Land use zoning, which is frequently relied on to improve
     resource allocation in the land market itself, is also used to
     indirectly regulate the urban transportation market. The
     effects of one of the means by which it does so, the
     requirement for a minimum amount of off-street parking space
     in conjunction with new commercial development, are discussed.
     Evidence is demonstrated that this minimum amount of parking
     is well above what the land market would supply in the absence
     of such requirements. The result is to depress the market
     price of parking to a level below the cost of its supply. This
     indirect regulation of the price of parking has several
     consequences, principally an increase in the number of trips
     made by automobile. Aside from their effects on the urban
     transportation market, parking requirements may also cause
     distortions in the urban land market. In effect, they can
     impose a "tax" on new development, which not only slows the
     redevelopment of older areas but may also alter the spatial
     pattern of new development in undesirable ways. Unwisely used,
     land market controls can thus aggravate some of the
     transportation, and other, problems they are intended to
     solve. This illustrates the potential hazard of attempts to
     remedy urban transportation problems indirectly-for example,
     by intervention in the land market rather than direct
     intervention in the transportation market itself.

ANNOTATED BIBLIOGRAPHY              PAGE 24            ECO NORTHWEST





Puget Sound Regional Council. Parking Inventory for Seattle and
     Bellevue: 1992. Puget Sound Regional Council, 1992.
     An inventory of parking stalls, occupancy, and cost was
     conducted for 19 Traffic Analysis Zones in downtown Seattle
     and six zones in downtown Bellevue in April-May of 1992, as an
     update to surveys completed in 1987 and 1989.

Roth, Gabriel J. Paying for Parking. London: Institute of Economic 
     Affairs Ltd., 1965.
     Early exploration of the effects of parking prices on urban
     planning, land use development, and transportation patterns.

Savage, Ian. "The Analysis of Bus Costs and Revenues by Time
     Period: ][I. Methodology Review." Transport Reviews 9 (1989):
     1-17.
     This article develops a transit revenue model for bus fleet
     operations.

Segelhorst, Elbert W. and Larry D. Kirkus. "Parking Bias in Transit
     Choice." Journal of Transport Economics and Policy (January
     1973): 58-70. The rush-hour private car commuter often pays in
     user charges only a small fraction of the marginal costs he
     imposes on the rest of the community. The subsidy is paid by
     off-peak users of the same facilities, by users of rural
     arterial highways, and by the community through failure to
     charge rental (interest and depreciation) for much of the
     street and highway area used or taxes (property and profit
     taxes) on the capital invested. Provision of free parking for
     employees and customers is an additional subsidy that further
     distorts price below resource cost. Various solutions to
     correct the price-cost distortion of the parking subsidy are
     discussed, and one measure to address the issue is explored in
     depth. With the establishment of a transit district, a choice
     of an equal subsidy for transit is offered to those who
     presently receive free parking. The paper discusses the
     expected results of this program for Los Angeles, CA.

Shoup, Donald C. Cashing Out Employer-Paid Parking. U.S. Department
     of Transportation, Washington, D.C.,, 1992. Publication No.
     FTA-CA-11-0035-92-1.
     Employer-paid parking increases traffic congestion, air
     pollution,, and energy consumption. The author proposes a
     minor change in the Internal Revenue Code to require employers
     who subsidize employee parking to offer the option to their
     employees to take a taxable cash travel allowance equal to the
     fair market value of the parking subsidy. Studies suggest this
     could reduce solo commuting by 20 percent.

Shoup, Donald C. 'Cashing In On Curb Parking." Access 4 (Spring
     1994 a): 2026.

ANNOTATED BIBLIOGRAPHY             Page 25             ECO NORTHWEST





     By imposing minimum parking requirements, the author believes
     planners have inadvertently increased automobile dependency
     and decreased urban density. Current parking requirements are
     implicitly based on the demand observed at zero price, as
     motorists report paying nothing for 99 percent of all trips
     and parking requirements are based on observing the number of
     cars parked at existing land uses. The author argues that
     spill over of parking into nearby neighborhoods is not caused
     by a shortage of off-street parking, but by the government's
     failure to charge an appropriate price for curb parking. He
     makes several suggestions for implementing market prices for
     curb parking and how to most effectively use the revenue thus
     raised.

Shoup, Donald C. "Cashing Out Employer-Paid Parking: A Precedent 
     for Congestion Pricing?" Transportation Research Board Special
     Report 242 (1994 b): 152-199.
     Almost all parking in the United States is provided free to
     the user. In the 1990 Nationwide Personal Transportation
     Survey, motorists reported receiving free parking for 99% of
     all automobile trips. Because the average car is parked 95% of
     the time, it seems clear that, in most cases, congestion tolls
     would charge motorists for the use of roads during the brief
     time they are traveling between free parking spaces. In
     considering the potential benefits of congestion pricing,
     previous research on parking pricing provides useful evidence
     that automobile use is surprisingly sensitive to parking
     price. The purpose of this study is to (a) present the
     evidence from parking studies on the price elasticity of
     demand for automobile travel ' (b) explore how employer paid
     parking subsidies contribute to , the problems that congestion
     tolls are meant to solve, (c) propose a policy to "cash out"
     employer-paid parking subsidies, (d) explain California's new
     parking cash-out legislation, and (e) describe some early
     results of the California legislation and speculate on how it
     may serve as a precedent for implementing congestion pricing.

Shoup, Donald C. and Don H. Pickrell. Free Parking as a
     Transportation Problem. Department of Transportation, 1980.
     Final Report DOT/RSPA/DPB50-80/16.
     As many as 40 percent of all those commuting by auto to the
     downtown areas of U.S. and Canadian cities appear to park free
     at their destinations. This surprisingly widespread practice
     is a significant but overlooked determinant of mode choice.
     The study attempts to estimate how many of those who are
     offered employer subsidized parking decide to drive alone
     rather than commute by carpool, transit, or another means. The
     best estimate appears to be that approximately 20 percent of
     those who now drive alone and receive free parking would form
     carpools or begin using transit for the trip to work if

ANNOTATED BIBLIOGRAPHY             Page 26             ECO NORTHWEST





     required to pay for parking. The major incentive for employers
     to provide free parking appears to be the fact that as a
     fringe benefit, free parking escapes income taxation.
     Enforcing the reporting and taxation of its cash value,
     however, is a difficult and predictably unpopular approach.
     Instead, this study recommends two policies intended to extend
     the subsidy for work travel now enjoyed by many drivers, in
     the form of free parking, to travel by other modes: (1) amend
     the Internal Revenue Code to permit employers to pay employees
     a tax-exempt travel allowance in lieu of free or subsidized
     parking; and (2) extend free parking only to drivers who
     carpool (e.g., only to autos with three or more occupants).

Shoup, Donald C. and Don H. Pickrell. "Problems with Parking
     Requirements in Zoning Ordinances." Traffic Quarterly 32
     (1978): 545-561. Pickrell, Don H. and Donald C. Shoup. "Land
     Use Zoning as Transportation Regulation." Transportation
     Research Record 786 (1980):12-17.
     This paper discusses land use zoning as a non-market method to
     indirectly regulate the urban transportation market. The
     requirement for a minimum amount of off-street parking space
     in conjunction with new commercial development is discussed.
     The paper illustrates the dangers of attempting to remedy
     urban transportation problems indirectly, by intervention in
     the land market rather than direct intervention in the
     transportation market itself.

Shoup, Donald C. and Richard W. Willson. Commuting, Congestion. and
     Pollution:The Employer-Paid Parking Connection. 1992 a.
     Paper repared for the Congestion Pricing Symposium, sponsored
     by the Federal Highway Administration and Federal Transit
     Administration, Arlington, VA. Parking pricing and congestion
     pricing are often seen as alternative means to reduce traffic
     congestion, with parking pricing usually regarded as a
     potentially useful but rather blunt instrument when compared
     to congestion tolls. However, parking and congestion pricing
     can be viewed as complements, not alternatives. Two key
     concerns are critical to examining traffic congestion policy.
     First is an estimation of how employer-paid parking, which is
     an important feature of parking pricing, affects the number of
     vehicle miles traveled to work, the energy consumed by
     commuting, and total spending on parking and automobile
     commuting. Second is an understanding of the role played by
     the exemption of employer-paid parking subsidies from federal
     and state taxable income on encouraging single-occupancy
     commuting.

ANNOTATED BIBLIOGRAPHY             Page 27             ECO NORTHWEST





Shoup, Donald C. and Richard W. Willson. "Employer-Paid Parking: 
     The Problem and Proposed Solutions." Transportation Quarterly
     46 (No., 2, April 1992 b): 169-192.
     This article outlines the incidence of employer-paid parking
     and details its effects on congestion, commuting patterns, and
     externalities such as land use and air quality.
     Recommendations are offered, including changes in federal and
     state tax policies to influence commuting behavior.

     Smith, Wilbur and Associates. Parking in the City Center. New
     Haven, Connecticut: Wilbur Smith and Associates, 19-65.
     Early study of the connection between traffic congestion in
     the central business district and parking policies.

Staniewicz, James M. "New Directions in Parking Policy: The New
     Haven Experience." Transportation Quarterly 43 (2 1989): 193-
     213.
     This article explores several significant changes in public
     parking policy in the City of New Haven, CT. Parking is one of
     the hottest topics of discussion in New Haven, particularly
     the city's ability to maintain its current parking facilities,
     build new ones, and do so at acceptable levels of fees charged
     to patrons.

Surber, Monica, Donald C. Shoup, and Martin Wachs. "Effects of
     Ending Employer-Paid Parking for Solo Drivers." Transportation
     Research Record 957 (1984): 67-71.
     The change in employee travel choices at a company in Los
     Angeles that ended employer-paid parking for solo drivers who
     do not use their cars at work is documented. The modal split
     among affected employees changed in the following ways: solo
     driving fell from 42 to 8 percent; car pooling rose from 17 to
     58 percent; and bus ridership declined from 38 to 28 percent.
     There was no change in the modal split at a nearby comparison
     company that continued to offer free parking to all employees.
     It is concluded that ending employer-paid parking for solo
     drivers significantly influenced employees' modal choices.

Urban Land Institute and National Parking Association. The
     Dimensions of Parking. Third ed., Washington, D.C.: LTLI-The
     Urban Land Institute, 1993.
     As a land use element, the dimensions of parking have been
     changing rapidly in recent years. The literal change in the
     dimensions of the vehicle fleet has opened up new
     opportunities for changing the dimensions of parking spaces
     and increasing the efficiency of parking facilities. Parking
     is a major land use in and of itself, a significant factor in
     virtually all new developments. In terms of land consumption,
     surface parking frequently consumes more land than the uses it
     serves.

ANNOTATED BIBLIOGRAPHY              PAGE 28            ECO NORTHWEST





     Moreover, structured parking represents a significant cost, so
     much so that public sector participation in the financing is
     often the key to the feasibility of a downtown revitalization
     effort. This publication discusses the cost-effective
     provision of adequate parking. Emphasis is also given to the
     fact that ill-conceived facility designs that lack the
     flexibility to respond to change can damage the present and
     future economic viability of the land uses they are intended
     to serve.

Weant, Robert A. and Herbert S. Levinson. Parking. Westport, CT: 
     Eno Foundation, 1990.
     This monograph synthesizes and updates the vast body of
     literature on parking within the context of current needs,
     attitudes, and resources. It addresses key questions commonly
     associated with parking such as how much to provide, where to
     locate it, costs, and management. This study seeks to provide
     a benchmark for considering parking decisions and designs --
     for developing, financing, and implementing programs for the
     design of new facilities and the operation of existing ones.

Westin, Richard B. and David W. Gillen. "Parking Location and
     Transit Demand." Journal of Econometrics 8 (1978): 75-101.
     This paper discusses a simultaneous model of transport mode
     choice and optimal parking location for the auto mode. In
     developing this model, four extensions of dis-aggregate choice
     theory are made that should be useful to other applications.
     These extensions are: (1) the formulation of an econometric
     model that allows for continuous endogenous attributes in
     discrete choice decisions; (2) the use of an econometric
     estimation technique that is implementable using existing
     computer programs; (3) the development of an explicit reduced
     form expansion path cost model of location decisions; and (4)
     the extension of aggregation procedures to predict both
     transit demand and the spatial distribution of parking.

Willson, Richard W. "Estimating the Travel and Parking Demand
     Effects of Employer-Paid Parking." Regional Science and Urban
     Economics 22 (1992):133-145.
     A multinomial logit model of downtown Los Angeles commuters is
     used to assess the effect of employer-paid parking on mode
     choice and parking demand. Employer-paid parking significantly
     increases the probability that an employee will drive to work
     alone. The best performance models predict that between 25 and
     34 percent fewer automobiles are driven to work when workers
     have to pay to park, as compared to when they park free. This
     analysis provides support for the notion that public policies
     concerning traffic congestion, air pollution and energy use
     must address employer-paid parking.

ANNOTATED BIBLIOGRAPHY         PAGE 29                 ECO NORTHWEST





Willson, Richard W and Donald C. Shoup. "Parking Subsidies and
     Travel Choices:Assessing the Evidence." Transportation 17 (No.
     2 1990): 141-157.
     The article reviews empirical studies of how employer-paid
     parking affects employees' travel choices. A strong effect is
     found: parking subsidies greatly increase solo driving. When
     employers reduce or remove parking subsidies, a significant
     number of solo drivers shift to carpools and/or transit. This
     conclusion is based on studies of parking subsidies in a
     variety of circumstances, including central city and suburban
     areas, private and public employers, and clerical and
     professional employees. Three measures are developed to
     compare changes in commute patterns: changes in the share of
     solo drivers, changes in the number of autos driven to work
     per 100 employees, and the parking choice elasticity of demand
     for solo driving. The studies reviewed here show that 19 to 81
     percent fewer employees drive to work alone when they pay for
     their own parking. Because 90 percent of American commuters
     who drive to work receive employer-paid parking, these
     findings are significant for designing transportation policies
     to reduce air pollution, traffic congestion, and energy
     consumption.

Young, William, Russell G. Thompson, and Michael A.P. Taylor. "'A 
     Review of Urban Car Parking Models." Transport Reviews 11
     (1991): 63-84.
     Car parking is an issue of significance both at the local and
     at the strategic level of planning. Although the policies that
     govern the provision and operation of parking facilities are
     recognized to have an important bearing on the operation of
     urban transport systems, decisions have often been made on an
     ad hoc basis, without proper integration with other elements
     of transport systems analysis. To assist in this integration,
     this paper presents a review of models of parking as an
     integral component of urban transport systems. The paper
     develops model groupings by relating their main objectives:
     choice, allocation and interaction models. It then discusses
     the relationship between these structures pointing to a
     hierarchical suite of models for parking analysis. Models at
     each level in the hierarchy can be directed at particular
     policy questions. Taken together as a linked system they can
     provide a realistic and comprehensive representation of the
     entire parking system for an area.

ANNOTATED BIBLIOGRAPHY             Page 30             ECO NORTHWEST





LICENSE FEES


Asch, Peter and Joseph J. Seneca. "The Incidence of Automobile
     Pollution Control." Public Finance Quarterly 6 (No. 2, April
     1978): 193-203.
     The incidence of a vehicle tax to reduce automobile pollution
     is examined over all affected groups: consumers, stockholders,
     pollution sufferers, and government expenditure beneficiaries.
     Gains and losses are estimated under alternative assumptions
     about industry pricing. The net effect of the tax is
     regressive if government expenditure benefits are distributed
     neutrally. Under different expenditure assumptions the tax
     effect becomes progressive, but the results suggest that a tax
     on emissions rather than vehicles may be more equitable as
     well as more efficient.

Barrett, Richard. Urban Transport in West Africa. Vol. No. 81.
     World Bank Technical Paper series, Urban Transport Series,
     Washington DC: World Bank,1988.
     This paper discusses the strengths and weaknesses of urban
     transport systems in West Africa, which are grossly inadequate
     to meet the needs of the existing urban population because
     much of the infrastructure dates back to colonial times and
     has not been adequately maintained or improved. The author
     analyzes the urban transport constraints in eight cities in
     West Africa examining the background of transport systems and
     trends; strengths and weaknesses of transportation; and the
     World Bank's experiences, role, "and strategy. The author
     identifies the following policy issues that must be addressed
     if the urban transport system is to be improved: (1) cost
     recovery and mobilization of resources through motor vehicle
     and fuel taxes, user charges, and parking tariffs and fines;
     (2) improving transport services by improving privately owned
     bus companies and granting incentives to private operators;
     (3) improving the efficiency of road transport, including road
     maintenance and traffic management; and (4) institutional
     development such as establishing road maintenance and traffic
     management units.

Cambridge Systematics Inc. An Analysis of Central Area Pricing to 
     Reduce Manhattan CBD Traffic. CSI, Cambridge, MA, 1986.
     This report explores various pricing schemes and their effects
     on traffic through the central business district in New York.

ANNOTATED BIBLIOGRAPHY             Page 31             ECO NORTHWEST





Davies, Peter and Fraser K. Sommerville. "Development of Heavy-
     Vehicle Electronic License Plate Concept." Transportation
     Research Record No. 1060 (1986):121-127.
     Described in this paper is the current progress of the work
     undertaken by the authors on the development of a heavy-
     vehicle electronic license plate (HELP) system in the United
     States, combining automatic vehicle identification (AVI),
     weight-in-motion (WIM), automatic vehicle classification, and
     data communications and processing. A summary is provided of
     the results of the studies on the technical and economic
     feasibility of the HELP concept, and its further development
     before a multi-state demonstration project, known as the
     Crescent Project. The format and content of the coded
     information stored in the identification tag attached to
     vehicles is also discussed. A summary of the cost-benefit
     analysis and the proposed implementation strategy leading to
     the demonstration project is also included.

Department of the Environment. A Study of Some Methods of Traffic
     Restraint: Summary Report. Crown, United Kingdom, 1976.
     Research Report No. 15.
     This document outlines several courses of action to address
     traffic problems, including parking restrictions, licensing
     requirements, and other regulatory methods.

Eskeland, Gunnar S. "Attacking Air Pollution in Mexico City."
     Finance & Development (December 1992): 28-30.
     The Mexican government has moved quickly in recent years to
     attack its severe air pollution problem. As. in most major
     metropolitan areas, Mexico's City's air pollution comes from
     industry, homes, fuel-based transportation, and natural
     sources-all areas that the government is targeting for
     pollution control. The transport sector alone accounts for
     about half of Mexico City's total emissions. Since it is not
     feasible to tax emissions directly because the city's sources
     of transport pollution are many and varied, policy makers will
     have to use indirect instruments, which target proxies for
     emissions (indicators of how clean the car is and how much it
     is used). These indicators could be influenced by regulations
     (emissions standards) and market tools (fuel taxes). When
     pollution taxes cannot be implemented, a study recommends a
     mix of policies aimed at making vehicles and fuels cleaner and
     policies aimed at reducing demand for polluting vehicle trips.
     A gasoline tax, motivated by pollution abatement alone, would
     generate about $350 million in public revenue in Mexico City
     alone.

Fields, Robert J. Understanding and Managing Sales and Use Tax.
     Chicago: Commerce Clearing House, 1991.

ANNOTATED BIBLIOGRAPHY         PAGE 32                 ECO NORTHWEST





     Examines the practical applications of sales and use tax and
     presents basic concepts that form the foundation for a working
     tax consciousness. Part 1 explores the concepts of sales and
     use tax, focusing on the measurement of these taxes;
     exemptions; audits, hearings, and appeals; government
     administration of sales/use taxation; multi-state tax compacts
     and creative tax harvesting techniques; and nexus and
     jurisdiction. Part 2 focuses on the management of the sales
     and use tax function and discusses sales/use tax department
     management; registration; audit support documentation;
     handling audits and auditors; data processing opportunities
     for sales/use tax; the creation of effective tax manuals;
     training; tax research; asking and answering questions; and
     record retention.

Greater London Council. Supplementary Licensing. Greater London
     Council, London, 1974.
     This document discusses various proposed supplementary
     licensing plans, by borough, by level.

Hau, Timothy D. "Congestion Charging Mechanisms for Roads." World 
     Bank Policy Research Working Papers Series WPS 1071 (1992): 1-
     99.
     Of the many direct and indirect methods of charging for road
     use, the key alternatives for reducing road congestion are (1)
     cordon pricing using manual tollbooths, (2) supplementary
     vehicle licensing, (3) automatic vehicle identification, and
     (4) smart card technology.

Henion, Loyd and Barbara Koos. "The Heavy Vehicle Electronic
     License Plate System Development Program: A Progress Report."
     Transportation Research Forum Proceedings 27 (No. 1 1986):
     188-192.
     The Heavy Vehicle Electronic License Plate (HELP) System
     Development Program is a cooperative multi-state project
     designed to demonstrate the applicability and use of automated
     vehicle identification (AVI), weigh-in-motion (WIM), and
     automated vehicle classification (AVC). Participating states
     are Alaska, California, Idaho, Iowa, Minnesota, Nevada, New
     Mexico, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Washington. The
     project asks truck operators to place Heavy Vehicle Electronic
     License Plates on their vehicles. The HELP will develop and
     implement methods for improving the management of the highway
     system through a linking of this electronic equipment by a
     telecommunication network accessible to all participants, both
     public and private. The project will illustrate how WIM and
     AVC, when integrated with a HELP system, can provide the
     states, federal government, and private industry with vital
     information for a variety of needs such as pavement and fleet
     management. This paper presents

ANNOTATED BIBLIOGRAPHY         PAGE 33                 ECO NORTHWEST





     the goals of the projects, the organization, and the potential
     benefits and impacts.

Hoffer, George E. and Charles J. Gallagher. "The Effect of
     Registration Reciprocity on Road User Tax Rates." Southern
     Economic Journal 44 (No. 4 1978):913-921.
     An investigation of the adequacy of motor vehicle user charges
     has two distinct parts. First, there is the question of
     whether a given federal and state road tax structure is
     adequate to cover the allocated costs among the several
     vehicle types. Second, regardless of the answer to the above,
     there remains the question of whether a state's effective tax
     rate is reflective of its nominal rate. This paper estimates
     the user and property tax payments made by a sample of 50 ICC-
     certified motor freight carriers to five eastern and southern
     states. These firms' 1973 payments to each state on a per mile
     basis are compared with their theoretical tax liability under
     each state's tax code. In addition, cost estimates are
     calculated on a national average and for a particular state,
     Virginia.

Levenson, Leo and Deborah Gordon. "DRIVE+: Promoting Cleaner and 
     More Fuel Efficient Motor Vehicles through a Self-Financing
     System of State Sales Tax Incentives." Journal of Policy
     Analysis and Management 9 (No. 3 1990): 409-415.
     DRIVE+ (Demand-based Reductions In Vehicle Emissions PLUS
     Improvements in Fuel Economy) is a proposal to create self-
     financing tax incentives in California for consumers to buy
     cleaner and more fuel-efficient cars and trucks. Sales tax
     surcharges on vehicles with higher emissions of criteria
     pollutants and carbon dioxide (CO2) would pay for sales tax
     reductions on more efficient and lower-emitting cars and
     trucks. The magnitude of the incentives would be pegged to the
     costs of alternative strategies to control pollutant and CO2
     emissions. The proposed incentives would help vehicle
     manufacturers meet sales goals contained in existing and
     proposed federal and state emissions and fuel economy
     standards. DRIVE+ would also encourage manufacturers to market
     and consumers to purchase vehicles that are cleaner and more
     efficient than the standards require. DRIVE+ holds the promise
     of being politically feasible as it imposes no net new taxes
     and requires no new appropriations from the state general
     fund.

Manchester, Harlan R. "Sales-Use Tax Administration." Management
     Accounting 54 No. 6 (December 1972): 31-34.


May, Anthony D. "Supplementary Licensing: An Evaluation." Traffic
     Engineering and Control 16 (No. 4, April 1975)

ANNOTATED BIBLIOGRAPHY         PAGE 34                 ECO NORTHWEST





     A new method of traffic restraint which would require drivers
     of certain vehicles to purchase special licenses to use their
     vehicles at specified times in designated areas is proposed.
     The proposal is considered as a means of providing restraint
     in inner London, reviewed are the effects of a number of
     alternative schemes on traffic patterns, on the environment
     and on the social and commercial framework of London, and
     determined are the practical requirements of these
     alternatives. This article summarizes the methods used and the
     results obtained.

May, Anthony D. "Traffic Restraint: A Review of the Alternatives."
     Transportation Research 20A (No. 2, March 1986): 109-121.
     This paper draws upon a wide range of international
     experiences to assess the role that road pricing may play as a
     means of urban traffic restraint. It considers why restraint
     policies have not been more widely adopted in the face of
     mounting urban transport problems and identifies the major
     difficulties in implementation. A number of restraint policies
     are available and these are compared, using a range of
     criteria, as potential tools of transport policy. The
     conclusion which emerges is that, although the general case
     for restraint is more complex than many simplistic analyses
     have suggested, where there is a case for its introduction,
     road pricing, in a fairly simple form, offers the most
     effective approach. Finally, consideration is given to the
     future research needs into restraint measures.

Menon, A.P. Gopinath, Sol-Hol Lam, and Henry S.L. Fan. "Singapore's
     Road Pricing System: Its Past, Present and Future." ITE
     Journal 63 (Number 12, December 1993): 44-48.
     Singapore is the first city in the world to implement a cordon
     road pricing system, the Area Licensing Scheme. The system was
     implemented in June 1975 and originally was aimed at
     discouraging automobile commuting. Pricing control was only
     applied during the morning peak hours, to private cars and
     taxis. In 1989, this goal was revised to incorporate traffic
     management to curtail congestion. This paper describes the
     implementation and results of this system.

Menon, A.P.G. and P.A. Seddon. "Traffic in the Central Area - Part 
     I: Volume Characteristics." IES Journal, The Institution of
     Engineers, Singapore 31 (No. 2, March/April 1991): 15-20.
     This document is a compilation of traffic statistics in the
     Singapore area, focusing on volume characteristics.

Olszewski, P. and Tan Yan Weng. "Traffic in the Central Area --
     Part III: Speed Characteristics." IES Journal. The Institution
     of Engineers, Singapore 31 (No. 2, March/April 1991): 1-12.

ANNOTATED BIBLIOGRAPHY         PAGE 35                 ECO NORTHWEST





     This document is a compilation of traffic statistics in the
     Singapore area, focusing on speed characteristics.

Shannon, Patrick and Robert P. Minch. "A Decision Support System 
     for Motor Vehicle Taxation Evaluation." Interfaces 22 (March-
     April 1992): 52-64.
     A decision support system (DSS) for evaluating motor vehicle
     taxation legislation in Idaho allows users to assess the
     impact of changes in fixed vehicle registration fees and
     weight-distance taxes on state revenue collections and
     trucking industry costs. The 2 main sources of data concerning
     motor carriers were a registration file containing data on all
     carriers licensed to operate in Idaho and a file containing
     data on miles reported by carriers during each quarter of the
     year. An updated model of the motor carrier taxation DSS
     (MCTDSS), developed in 1987, showed that if weight-distance
     fees had been changed to a flat rate of 22.45 mills, an $821
     increase in the registration fee of each truck would have been
     required to achieve revenue neutrality. In part because of the
     information provided by MCTDSS, the state of Idaho avoided
     what could have been a multi-million dollar adverse economic
     impact due to proposed legislation affecting the structure of
     motor vehicle taxation.

Simross, Lynn. "Car Fees: Pay Now or Pay Lots More Later." Los
     Angeles Times, Wednesday, April 10, 1991, E3.
     This article explains a new California state law which will
     double the penalty for late auto registration. Fees for unpaid
     parking tickets also will be tacked on to the renewal costs.

Smith, Peter. "Controlling Traffic Congestion by Regulating Car
     Ownership: Singapore's Recent Experience." Journal of
     Transport Economics & Policy 26 (1 1992): 89-95.
     This article discusses Singapore's experiences with changing
     the level of license and registration fees as well as varying
     quotas on individual car purchases and the results for car
     ownership and congestion.

Toh, Rex. "Road Congestion Pricing: The Singapore Experience."
     Malayan Economic Review 22 (2 1977): 52-61.
     This article reviews the early experiences in Singapore with
     the area licensing scheme.

Toh, Rex T. "Experimental Measures to Curb Road Congestion in
     Singapore: Pricing and Quotas." The Logistics and
     Transportation Review 28 (No. 3, September 1992): 289-317.
     This is a study of the road congestion problem in Singapore
     and the various experimental measures that have been
     implemented using the

ANNOTATED BIBLIOGRAPHY             Page 36             ECO NORTHWEST





     pricing mechanism and quota system. These include the Area
     Licensing Scheme, the proposed Electronic Road Pricing System,
     Weekend Car Concept, general pricing restraints, and quotas on
     new car purchases. It concludes with a discussion on the
     impact on welfare, makes several policy recommendations, and
     outlines lessons for other countries contemplating similar
     measures.

U.S. Department of Transportation Federal Highway Administration. 
     Summary of Travel Trends; 1990 Nationwide Personal
     Transportation Survey. Center for Transportation Analysis,
     Office of Highway Information Management, 1990. FHWA-PL-92-
     027.
     This report is part of a series of products from the 1990
     Nationwide Personal Transportation Survey (NPTS). The NPTS
     dataset contains information about the amount and nature of
     personal travel in the U.S., as related to the demographics of
     persons and households. This report highlights the survey
     results with emphasis on comparing the 1990 data to NPT'S data
     collected in 1969, 1977, and 1983. Topics such as household
     vehicle availability and use, annual miles per licensed
     driver, household travel rates, vehicle occupancy, and home-
     to-work trips are included.

Watson, Peter L. and Edward P. Holland. "Congestion Pricing: The 
     Example of Singapore." Finance and Development 13 (No. 1,
     March 1976): 20-23. This paper discusses the design,
     implementation, and results of the Singapore Area Licensing
     program.

Wilson, Paul W. "Welfare Effects of Congestion Pricing in
     Singapore." Transport 15 (No. 3, March 1988):191-210.
     This paper examines the Singapore Area License Scheme. Changes
     in scheduling and choices of transportation mode by commuters
     are discussed. Although the toll is shown to reduce travel
     times for many commuters, many commuters are shown to incur
     scheduling costs as a result of the toll. Using estimated
     parameters of an indirect utility function, welfare functions
     are computed to compare welfare levels prior to, and just
     after, the toll was put into place. The evidence suggests that
     the toll may have reduced welfare.

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ANNUAL VMT CHARGES


"Discommodity Market", The Economist. April 3, 1993. 31.
     This article discusses tradable pollution permits, which are
     negotiable bearer bonds good for one ton of sulfur dioxide.
     The demand for the permits at the Chicago Board of Trade has
     been lighter than expected thus far.

"Trading Places", The Economist. July 7, 1990. 32-33.
     This article explains the phenomenon of tradable permits and
     their role at the core of the new clean air bill before
     Congress.

Bresnock, Anne E. and Robert H. Huddy. Mobile Source Market
     Incentives for Southern California: Revenue and Equity
     Assessment of Emission/Use-Based Fees. Paper presented at
     Western Economic Association International Conference, June
     29-july 3, Vancouver, B.C., 1994.
     This paper provides a general overview of design features and
     impact considerations associated with a variety of
     transportation pricing and subsidization measures that
     directly alter travel cost. Costs, revenues, political
     acceptability, and institutional issues pertaining to
     practical application of alternative market incentive
     strategies are also summarized. The paper focuses on an
     analysis of VMT by vehicles of different vintages in the
     Southern California region. The examination of VMT and vehicle
     vintage distribution patterns by income quintile indicates
     that the incidence of emission/use-based fees would fan most
     heavily on lower income groups. Those groups tend to perform
     larger percentages of their total VMT in older vehicles.
     (Similarly for higher income groups and newer model vehicles.)
     County analysis of the VMT and vehicle vintage distribution
     patterns provides insight regarding geographical equity
     concerns associated with implementation of an emission/use-
     based fee system. Further work to uncover sub-regional VMT and
     vehicle vintage distribution difference is begun in the study.

Cameron, Michael. Efficiency and Fairness on the Road.
     Environmental Defense Fund, Oakland, CA., 1994.
     This report documents both the inefficiency of the present
     transportation system and the significant efficiency gains
     that could result from raising the current artificially low
     price of driving. It demonstrates that policies creating more
     accurate market incentives-measures such as vehicle mileage,
     smog, or congestion fees--could reduce the number of cars on
     the road, alleviating both pollution and congestion and
     lowering the overall price the region pays for the

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     mobility it gets. However, efficiency cannot be the only
     concern of policy makers. It is equally critical to consider
     issues of equity. This report presents a model for analyzing
     in considerable detail the effects of market-incentive
     policies on people of different income levels. It documents
     both the distribution of the present transportation system's
     benefits and costs among income groups and the distribution to
     be expected from several sample market-incentive measures. Its
     specific conclusion is that such policies can indeed be
     designed to benefit people at all income levels. But its more
     important contribution to the ongoing debate is a new method
     of analysis that policy makers and the public can use to make
     more informed choices among policy options and to tailor a
     transportation policy for Southern California that
     significantly improves both the efficiency and the equity of
     the present system.

Greene, David L. "Vehicle Use and Fuel Economy: How Big is the
     "Rebound" Effect?" The Energy Journal 13 (No. 1 1992): 117-
     143.
     By reducing the fuel costs of travel, motor vehicle efficiency
     improvements tend to increase the demand for travel, thereby
     offsetting some of the energy-savings benefit of the
     efficiency improvement and creating a "rebound" effect. The
     key factor is the elasticity of vehicle travel with respect to
     fuel cost per mile. Past studies offer a wide range of
     estimates depending on model formulation and time period, with
     more recent analyses indicating that travel is insensitive to
     fuel costs and efficiency. This paper analyzes U.S. light-duty
     vehicle miles traveled from 1966-89, examining a variety of
     statistical issues that bear on the size of the "rebound"
     effect, including error structure, functional form, and
     possible lagged effects. The results consistently confirm that
     the "rebound" effect has been quite small, about 5-15%, or
     less; and that short-run (one year) adjustments accounted for
     essentially all of the change in travel due to fuel price and
     fuel economy changes. The findings imply that the energy
     savings of technical fuel economy improvements to cars and
     light trucks will be only slightly reduced by increased
     vehicle travel. They also imply that gasoline taxes would need
     to be very large in order to stimulate significant reductions
     in travel.

Harvey, Greig. Transportation Pricing and Travel Behavior. 1994. 
     Paper Presented at the 69th Annual -Western Economic
     Association International Conference, Vancouver, B.C.
     This paper summarizes and critically interprets the current
     state of knowledge about the effects of transportation system
     prices on travel demand. The paper is written in the context
     of heightened interest in pricing instruments as tools for
     financing transportation investments and for addressing
     externalities in the transportation system

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     (particularly in the highway system). In making judgments
     about the desirability of pricing, and in developing specific
     pricing policies, it is important to have as much information
     as possible about impacts on the amount, location, and timing
     of travel in affected areas, both in total (for determining
     aggregate revenues and other system wide impacts) and among
     specific facilities, jurisdictions, and population subgroups
     (for evaluating distributional consequences). The paper
     assesses how well the current state of knowledge can address
     these information needs, and presents results from pricing
     studies based on state-of-the-practice tools.

Harvey, Greig and Elizabeth Deakin. Manual of MPO Modeling
     Practice. National Association of Regional Councils,
     Washington, D.C., 1992.
     Recent changes in the context of transportation planning are
     increasing the importance of regional transportation analysis
     methods. In particular, the Clean Air Act Amendments of 1990
     set forth detailed requirements for planning and analysis
     which apply to numerous metropolitan areas. This Manual,
     prepared under contract to the National Association of
     Regional Councils as part of NARC's Clean Air Project, was
     designed to help regional agencies (metropolitan planning
     organizations) respond to the issues raised in carrying out
     transportation modeling for air quality planning efforts. The
     Manual reviews the state of transportation modeling today,
     focusing primarily on travel demand forecasting as it is
     practiced by regional agencies, and suggests strategies for
     responding to specific analysis needs and for overcoming
     common problems. - The emphasis is on identifying issues which
     MPOs should consider in reviewing their models, and on
     recommending sound options for addressing such issues in
     accordance with local objectives and resource availability.

Hanson, Donald A. "A Market Based Approach to Cleaner Air." Chicago
     Fed Letter May (No. 57 1992): 1-4.
     This article describes the market based approach to pollution
     control and assesses the new add rain legislation as a
     prototype.

Hensher, David A, and Frank W. Milthorpe, and Nariida C. Smith. 
     "The Demand for Vehicle Use in the Urban Household Sector:
     Theory and Empirical Evidence." Journal of Transport Economics
     and Policy 24 (No. 2, May 1990): 119-137.
     Forecasts of vehicle ownership are important in the
     development of road investment strategies and in the
     calculation of revenues form vehicle-linked taxes. However,
     the interest in energy consumption has highlighted the
     importance of vehicle utilization: the demand for automobiles
     and the demand for fuel should be treated as inputs into the
     household production function for mobility services, as
     embodied

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     in the level of utilization. This reorientation is an
     appealing emphasis for deciding on investments in road
     infrastructure; the intensity of use may be a more suitable
     basis for establishing road needs than the level of vehicle
     ownership. This paper outlines a static theory of choice
     behavior which views the rate of vehicle use as jointly
     determined with the choice of vehicle type.

Jenkins, Glenn P and Ranjit Lamech. "Market-Based Incentive
     Instruments for Pollution Control." Bulletin for International
     Fiscal Documentation 46 (11 1992): 523-538.
     The use of market-based incentives (MBIS) as mechanisms for
     influencing pollution abatement has increased greatly in
     recent years. This trend reflects the realization that the
     integration of economic and environmental decision-making will
     induce the private sector to take steps to reduce their
     pollution emissions levels. Market-based incentive instruments
     may be broadly classified to include environmental taxes,
     investment tax incentives, tradable permits, user charges, and
     deposit refund systems. Until now, policy-makers worldwide
     have continued to place greater emphasis on the use of
     investment tax incentives since they seem to more effectively
     balance environmental considerations with concerns about
     industrial competitiveness. It is becoming increasingly
     apparent, however, that other MBIs may be more effective
     mechanisms for influencing pollution abatement in certain
     circumstances. This report reviews the theoretical foundations
     for idealized pollution control MBIS. It then focuses in
     particular on the way in which environmental taxes, deposit
     refund systems, and tradable pollution permits may be more
     suitable instruments for inducing pollution abatement
     behavior. A number of international examples of the
     implementation of such policies are reviewed.

Kessler, Jon and William Schroeer. Meeting Mobility and Air Quality
     Goals: Strategies that Work. US Environmental Protection
     Agency, Office of Policy Analysis, 1993. Draft report.
     Recent federal legislation sets tough air quality goals for
     the nation but offers scant guidance to urban areas
     responsible for meeting those goals. Traditionally,
     transportation-related air quality policy emphasized cleaner
     vehicle and fuels technologies and alternatives to single-
     occupant vehicle travel such as car pooling and mass transit.
     Analysis suggests, however, that meeting air quality goals
     will require the addition of policies to manage the growing
     demand for transportation. The introduction of market forces
     into transportation supply and demand decisions would support
     traditional transportation and air quality strategies, and
     produce additional mobility, air quality, and economic
     benefits. Recent transportation legislation offers states

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     and localities the flexibility to meet mobility and air
     quality goals in an innovative, non-traditional manner.
     Drawing on theoretical analysis and recent empirical evidence
     this paper offers a package of measures for the consideration
     of state, local, and federal policy-makers.

Loudon, William R., Deborah A. Dagang, and Robert G. Dulla. The
     Effectiveness of Transportation Control Measures in Reducing
     Congestion and Improving Air Quality. Air & Waste Management
     Association, 1993. Presentation at the 86th Annual Meeting &
     Exhibition, Denver, Colorado, June 13-18. Report No. 93-RP-
     149.05.
     Legislation and regulations to improve air quality have
     increasingly focused on mobile sources as a target area for
     emissions reduction, and transportation control measures
     (TCMS) are a primary strategy for achieving this goal. This
     paper describes some of the legislative requirements, the
     tools available to evaluate candidate TCMS, and the results of
     research on the effectiveness of selected TCMs on travel
     reduction and emissions reduction. Trip reduction is found to
     have the most sizable impact on air quality and decreasing
     employer-paid parking to have a significant impact on trip
     reduction.

Loudon, William and Malcolm Quint. "Predicting Pollution." Civil 
     Engineering April. (1993)
     The article breaks down the components of vehicle emissions
     into four parts: trip-start emissions, running emissions,
     evaporative trip-end emissions, and diurnal emissions. The
     authors propose a methodology and discuss software
     applications which can predict air quality emissions as the
     result of traffic patterns.

Madden, Gary G. "Aggregate Studies of Automobile Demand: A Review."
     International Journal of Transport Economics 15 (No. 2, June
     1988): 129-58 '
     This is a review of various econometric models attempting to
     measure and predict automobile demand.

Pickrell, Don. Automobile and Gasoline Demand, Revisited. Harvard 
     University, Volpe National Transportation Systems Center, U.S.
     Department of Transportation, 1992.
     This paper estimates long-run income elasticities, short-run
     and long-run fuel price elasticities with respect to auto
     ownership, annual VMT, and total fuel consumption.

Rose-Ackerman, Susan. "Market Models for Pollution Control: Their 
     Strengths and Weaknesses." Public Policy 25 (No. 3, Summer
     1977): 383-406.

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     Two market schemes for controlling water pollution, effluent
     charges, and pollution rights are contrasted. Rights are, in
     general, found to be superior to charges, but market
     mechanisms must also be supplemented by non-market regulatory
     devices. Rights are preferred to charges because they (1)
     assure the attainment of water quality thresholds; (2)
     minimize inequities; (3) provide a means of subsidizing
     municipalities without sacrificing efficiency; (4) permit
     growth without burdening existing dischargers; and (5) provide
     a way to handle emergencies. In addition, they can be
     incorporated into the existing legislation without a drastic
     revision of the Water Pollution Control Act of 1972.

Sholtz-Vogt, Anne and Kenneth Chilton. "Can the Free Market Clean 
     Up Our Air?" Business and Society Review 75 (Fall 1990): 41-
     42.
     This paper discusses two instruments designed to reduce
     releases of pollution: emissions fees and transferable
     emissions permits, or allowances.

Stanley, Robert G., Maureen Sevigny, and Arlee T. Reno. Positive 
     Feedback Approach to Mobile Source Emissions Reduction in the
     South Coast Region. 1994. Based on Final Report for the South
     Coast Air Quality Management District, under Contract AB
     2766/COO13 Presented at the 69th Annual Western Economic
     Association International Conference, Vancouver, B.C.
     The objective of the "Positive Feedback" project has been to
     estimate the emissions reduction that might result in the
     South Coast region from a combined fee on vehicle miles of
     travel (VMT) and vehicle emission rates, and to quantify the
     additional emissions reduction that might be achieved from the
     reinvestment of the fee revenues in related programs and
     initiatives. The central hypothesis of the study is that a
     pricing mechanism that increases the cost of personal vehicle
     use in direct relationship to miles traveled and the emissions
     characteristics of individual vehicles will affect travel
     behavior and vehicle holdings in a way that will reduce
     otherwise expected levels of mobile source emissions.

Transportation Research Board. "The Vehicle-Miles of Travel --
     Urban Highway Supply Relationship." National Cooperative
     Highway Research Program Research Results Digest 127 (1980):
     1-7.
     This paper examines the relationship between VMT and urban
     highway capacity. It discusses commuting behavior, travel
     demand elasticities, and the need for further research.

U.S. Department of Transportation Federal Highway Administration.
     Summary of Travel Trends; 1990 Nationwide Personal
     Transportation

ANNOTATED BIBLIOGRAPHY             Page 43             ECO NORTHWEST





     Survey. Center for Transportation Analysis, Office of Highway 
     Information Management, 1990. FHWA-PL-92-027.
     This report is part of a series of products from the 1990
     Nationwide Personal Transportation Survey (NPTS). The NPTS
     dataset contains information about the amount and nature of
     personal travel in the U.S., as related to the demographics of
     persons and households. This report highlights the survey
     results with emphasis on comparing the 1990 data to NPT'S data
     collected in 1969, 1977, and 1983. Topics such as household
     vehicle availability and use, annual miles per licensed
     driver, household travel rates, vehicle occupancy, and home-
     to-work trips are included

Walbert, Mark S. and Thomas J. Bierma. "The Permits Game: Conveying
     the Logic of Marketable Pollution Permits." Journal of
     Economic Education 19 (4 1988):383-389.
     This article presents an interactive classroom technique
     designed to increase the reader's basic understanding of at
     least two fundamental ideas in environmental economics. The
     first is that the optimal level of pollution is rarely zero.
     The second is idea is that marketable pollution permits offer
     the lowest-cost, most easily implemented means of attaining a
     given level of pollution control.


FUEL TAXES


"Cost and Benefit Analysis of a Motor Fuels Tax." Energy
     Information Administration, Office of Energy Markets and End
     Use. U.S. Dept: of Energy (March 1987).
     Presents statistical and policy analyses of a fuels tax,
     likely effects on transportation patterns, vehicle use, and
     mobility.

"Gasoline Tax Statistics." National Petroleum News 85 (Mid-June
     1993): 174-176.
     US state and federal motor fuel tax statistics, including net
     gasoline revenues are presented.

Barrett, Richard. Urban Transport in West Africa. World Bank
     Technical Paper series, No. 81, Urban Transport Series,
     Washington DC: World Bank,1988.
     This paper discusses the strengths and weaknesses of urban
     transport systems in West Africa, which are grossly inadequate
     to meet the needs of the existing urban population because
     much of the infrastructure dates back to colonial times and
     has not been adequately maintained or improved. The author
     analyzes the urban transport constraints in

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     eight cities in West Africa examining the background of
     transport systems and trends; strengths and weaknesses of
     transportation; and the World Bank's experiences, role, and
     strategy. The author identifies the following policy issues
     that must be addressed if the urban transport system is to be
     improved: (1) cost recovery and mobilization of resources
     through motor vehicle and fuel taxes, user charges, and
     parking tariffs and fines; (2) improving transport services by
     improving privately owned bus companies and granting
     incentives to private operators; (3) improving the efficiency
     of road transport, including road maintenance and traffic
     management; and (4) institutional development such as
     establishing road maintenance and traffic management units.

Beggs, S. and S. Cardell. "Assessing the Potential Demand for
     Electric Cars." Journal of Econometrics 16 (1981): 1-19.
     The authors model the possible future market for electric
     cars.

Bowman, John H and John L Mikesell. "Recent Changes in State
     Gasoline Taxation: An Analysis of Structure and Rates."
     National Tax Journal 36, No. 2 (June 1983 ): 163-182.
     Highway cost-and gasoline price increases and gasoline
     consumption decreases have prompted significant changes in
     state gasoline taxes, including both uncommonly large and
     numerous rate increases and provisions for automatic rate
     adjustment under variable-rate (indexed) taxes. Seven variable
     rate states index by gasoline price changes--the result is a
     crude approximation to ad valorem taxation--but three use
     other indexing factors, including cost of services, which
     break new ground in tax practice. The different indexing
     approaches also produce different rate adjustment experiences
     and expectations. Analysis of rate change influences shows
     that so far, at least, automatic rate adjustment has not
     produced rate increases larger than those from statutory
     change.

Brinner, Roger, Michael Shelby, Joyce Yanchar, and Alex Cristofaro.
     "Optimizing Tax Strategies to Reduce Greenhouse